A Escola das Odds

Elversberg v SC Preußen Münster

Início: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Final: Elversberg 3–0 SC Preußen Münster

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elversberg (Local)

Previsão 77.75%1.29odd justa
EV -3.60%
Vantagem -2.90%
Kelly -14.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.00%77.77%77.83%80.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.191.201.2489.29%83.87%83.33%80.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Preußen Münster (Visitante)

Previsão 8.48%11.79odd justa
EV +10.25%
Vantagem +0.788%
Kelly +0.854%
Crescimento +0.088%

pressupondo odds máximas de 13.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.27%8.50%8.45%10.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.5010.8111.0013.0011.76%9.25%9.09%7.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 13.77%7.26odd justa
EV +10.19%
Vantagem +1.27%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescimento +0.148%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.86%13.73%13.72%16.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.506.576.508.0018.18%15.22%15.38%12.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.10%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +10.19%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.148%5.4%2026-05-16 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +10.25%E +0.788%K +0.854%G +0.088%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.31%E +0.441%K +0.509%G +0.017%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 79.56%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.52%EV +7.70%E +0.607%K +0.659%G +0.051%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.92%EV +1.79%E +0.242%K +0.280%G +0.005%4.7%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.20%EV -2.20%E -0.310%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.76%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.10%EV -13.07%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -2.20%E -0.310%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:00
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Suprabets1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:35
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -9.04%E -7.72%K -53.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:38
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -6.34%E -0.932%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:35
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -2.47%E -0.215%K -0.235%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 13:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -2.47%E -0.215%K -0.235%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 13:10
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.63%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.90%EV -7.71%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.63%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.90%EV -7.71%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -3.60%E -2.90%K -14.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -19.43%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:09
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:38
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 77.44%EV -7.48%E -6.29%K -39.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 13:10
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -11.37%E -9.97%K -81.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 76.21%EV -10.59%E -9.21%K -70.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -27.91%E -3.28%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 77.53%EV -12.93%E -11.54%K -107.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.68%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.78%EV -13.22%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-17 08:15
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 06:45
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 06:45
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.68%EV -9.04%E -7.72%K -53.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.35%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.16%EV -9.82%E -8.46%K -61.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 13:09
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.16%EV -9.82%E -8.46%K -61.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 13:09
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.87%EV -11.37%E -9.97%K -81.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.37%EV -15.98%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-15 13:09
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 13:35
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.83%EV -9.82%E -8.46%K -61.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -19.43%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.91%EV -18.73%E -3.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -9.04%E -7.72%K -53.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -24.24%E -4.41%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.18%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%1.0%2026-05-17 06:45
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.29%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.05%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%1.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40