Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elversberg v 1. FC Magdeburg

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elversberg (Local)

Prediction 51.48%1.94fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.13%51.33%51.49%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.811.821.9160.98%55.17%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Magdeburg (Visit)

Prediction 25.26%3.96fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.383%
Kelly -0.515%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%25.34%25.25%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.553.9030.30%27.93%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.27%4.30fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.543%
Kelly -0.713%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%23.33%23.26%25.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.903.854.2030.30%25.64%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elversberg (Local): 51.48%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visit): 25.26%; Draw: 23.27%. For 1. FC Magdeburg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -1.68%E -0.880%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -1.68%E -0.880%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:29
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.74%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV -2.25%E -0.582%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.26%EV -3.21%E -0.772%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 17:16
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 16:35
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 17:16
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 17:10
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 15:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.73%EV -5.28%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.73%EV -5.28%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 17:15
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.28%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.72%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.70%EV -2.75%E -0.657%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:15
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:24
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 16:25
Suprabets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.99%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -6.83%E -3.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:15
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 17:15
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.31%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.31%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 17:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -16.65%E -5.05%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-05 15:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -16.65%E -5.05%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.49%E -0.383%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 17:16
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -10.43%E -6.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-06 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -23.22%E -7.04%K -10.10%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-06 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.46%E -6.66%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-06 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.33%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-06 17:16
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 51.22%EV -15.58%E -9.50%K -24.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.45%EV -16.65%E -5.05%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.33%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-06 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-06 17:25
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-06 17:25