L’École des cotes

Elversberg v 1. FC Magdeburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elversberg (Local)

Prévision 51.48%1.94cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.880%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.13%51.33%51.49%53.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.811.821.9160.98%55.17%54.95%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Magdeburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.26%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.383%
Kelly -0.515%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.20%25.34%25.25%26.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.553.9030.30%27.93%28.17%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.27%4.30cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.543%
Kelly -0.713%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.47%23.33%23.26%25.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.903.854.2030.30%25.64%25.97%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -1.68%E -0.880%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 15:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -1.68%E -0.880%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:29
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.74%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV -2.25%E -0.582%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.26%EV -3.21%E -0.772%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 17:16
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 15:30
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 15:30
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 16:35
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 17:16
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 17:10
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.73%EV -5.28%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 17:15
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.73%EV -5.28%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 17:15
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.28%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.72%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.70%EV -2.75%E -0.657%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 17:25
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 16:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 17:00
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 17:25
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:15
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:24
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 16:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 16:25
Suprabets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.99%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:14
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 17:25
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -6.83%E -3.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:15
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 17:15
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.31%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.31%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 17:25
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -16.65%E -5.05%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-05 15:29
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -16.65%E -5.05%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.49%E -0.383%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 17:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:15
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 17:16
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -10.43%E -6.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-06 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -23.22%E -7.04%K -10.10%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-06 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.46%E -6.66%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-06 16:25
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.33%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-06 17:16
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.22%EV -15.58%E -9.50%K -24.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.45%EV -16.65%E -5.05%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.33%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-06 17:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-06 17:25
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-06 17:25