La scuola delle quote

Elversberg v 1. FC Magdeburg

Inizio: 2026-03-06 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elversberg (Casa)

Previsione 51.48%1.94quota equa
EV -1.68%
Vantaggio -0.880%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.13%51.33%51.49%53.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.811.821.9160.98%55.17%54.95%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1. FC Magdeburg (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.26%3.96quota equa
EV -1.49%
Vantaggio -0.383%
Kelly -0.515%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.20%25.34%25.25%26.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.583.553.9030.30%27.93%28.17%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.27%4.30quota equa
EV -2.28%
Vantaggio -0.543%
Kelly -0.713%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.47%23.33%23.26%25.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.903.854.2030.30%25.64%25.97%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -1.68%E -0.880%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 15:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -1.68%E -0.880%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:29
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 15:30
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.74%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV -2.25%E -0.582%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.26%EV -3.21%E -0.772%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 17:16
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 15:30
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -3.74%E -2.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 15:30
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 16:35
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 17:16
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 17:10
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -4.77%E -2.58%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -12.86%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 15:29
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.73%EV -5.28%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 17:15
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.73%EV -5.28%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 17:15
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.28%E -2.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.72%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.70%EV -2.75%E -0.657%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 17:25
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 16:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 17:00
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 17:25
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:15
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:24
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.26%E -2.37%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 16:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.80%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 16:25
Suprabets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.99%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:14
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -6.31%E -3.47%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 17:25
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -6.83%E -3.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 17:15
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 17:15
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.31%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.31%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 17:25
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -16.65%E -5.05%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-05 15:29
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21%EV -7.34%E -4.08%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -16.65%E -5.05%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-05 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -8.37%E -4.70%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 16:25
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -8.89%E -5.02%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -1.49%E -0.383%K -0.515%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.28%E -0.543%K -0.713%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 17:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:15
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -9.92%E -5.67%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 17:16
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -10.43%E -6.00%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-06 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -10.95%E -6.33%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -23.22%E -7.04%K -10.10%G +0.000%17.5%2026-03-06 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.46%E -6.66%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-06 16:25
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.33%EV -13.52%E -8.05%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -13.92%E -3.76%K -5.15%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-06 17:16
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.22%EV -15.58%E -9.50%K -24.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.45%EV -16.65%E -5.05%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.33%EV -16.24%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-06 17:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%0.4%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-03-06 17:25
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-03-06 17:25