Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dynamo Dresden (Local): 44.56%; VfL Bochum (Visit): 29.58%; Draw: 25.86%. For VfL Bochum (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.557%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -2.40%E -0.728%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 10:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.23%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.18%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.59%EV -3.53%E -0.947%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -13.11%E -6.72%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -13.55%E -6.98%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -13.55%E -6.98%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -4.18%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -3.01%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -4.18%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -3.01%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 01:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -0.427%E -0.111%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 11:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 06:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 14:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.15%EV -7.41%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -7.41%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -14.44%E -7.52%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -14.44%E -7.52%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 11:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -14.44%E -7.52%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 11:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -8.20%E -3.98%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -6.54%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 05:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.72%E -0.453%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 18:36 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.72%E -0.453%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 08:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 08:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 11:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-31 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.21%E -6.20%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.72%E -0.453%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 07:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 18:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.62%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.14%EV -10.26%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 05:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 07:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 05:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 05:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 05:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-31 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-31 11:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-31 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-31 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.58%EV -13.11%E -6.72%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20% | 3.1% | 2026-09-04 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.01% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |