Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dynamo Dresden v VfL Bochum

Início: 2026-09-05 18:30 UTC

Final: Dynamo Dresden 1–2 VfL Bochum

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dynamo Dresden (Local)

Previsão 44.56%2.24odd justa
EV -4.19%
Vantagem -1.95%
Kelly -3.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%44.64%44.52%46.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.052.052.1552.08%48.78%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VfL Bochum (Visitante)

Previsão 29.58%3.38odd justa
EV +0.557%
Vantagem +0.164%
Kelly +0.232%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.65%29.53%29.52%30.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.153.133.4034.48%31.70%32.00%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.86%3.87odd justa
EV -0.427%
Vantagem -0.111%
Kelly -0.150%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.49%25.84%25.96%26.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.573.603.8529.85%28.05%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dynamo Dresden (Local): 44.56%; VfL Bochum (Visitante): 29.58%; Empate: 25.86%. Para VfL Bochum (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.38. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.557%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -2.40%E -0.728%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 10:30
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.23%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.18%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.59%EV -3.53%E -0.947%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 08:20
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -13.11%E -6.72%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -13.55%E -6.98%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -13.55%E -6.98%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -4.18%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -3.01%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -4.18%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -3.01%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 01:25
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -0.427%E -0.111%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 06:45
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 14:58
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.15%EV -7.41%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -7.41%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -14.44%E -7.52%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -14.44%E -7.52%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -14.44%E -7.52%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 11:44
Suprabets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -8.20%E -3.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -6.54%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:15
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 05:00
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 08:15
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.72%E -0.453%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.72%E -0.453%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 18:35
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:14
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:14
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.21%E -6.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.72%E -0.453%K -0.614%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 07:24
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.62%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.14%EV -10.26%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 05:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 07:24
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 05:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 05:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 05:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 05:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 11:49
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 11:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.58%EV -13.11%E -6.72%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%2.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%2.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%2.6%2026-09-04 13:50
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%2.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.1%2026-09-04 12:25
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%3.8%2026-09-04 14:05