Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dynamo Dresden v VfL Bochum

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 18:30 UTC

Score final : Dynamo Dresden 1–2 VfL Bochum

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Dynamo Dresden (Local)

Prévision 44.56%2.24cote équitable
EV -4.19%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -3.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%44.64%44.52%46.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.052.052.1552.08%48.78%48.78%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

VfL Bochum (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.58%3.38cote équitable
EV +0.557%
Avantage +0.164%
Kelly +0.232%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.65%29.53%29.52%30.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.153.133.4034.48%31.70%32.00%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.86%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.427%
Avantage -0.111%
Kelly -0.150%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.49%25.84%25.96%26.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.573.603.8529.85%28.05%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Dynamo Dresden (Local) : 44.56% ; VfL Bochum (Visiteur) : 29.58% ; Match nul : 25.86%. Pour VfL Bochum (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.38. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +0.557%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -9.99%E -4.94%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.557%E +0.164%K +0.232%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -2.40%E -0.728%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 10:30
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.23%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.18%EV -3.29%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.59%EV -3.53%E -0.947%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 08:20
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -13.11%E -6.72%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -13.55%E -6.98%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -13.55%E -6.98%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -3.88%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -4.18%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -3.01%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.83%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.42%EV -4.18%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV -3.01%E -0.804%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 01:25
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.42%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -0.427%E -0.111%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -4.64%E -2.17%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 06:45
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 14:58
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.15%EV -7.41%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.82%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -7.41%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -14.44%E -7.52%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -14.44%E -7.52%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.20%EV -14.44%E -7.52%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.67%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 11:44
Suprabets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -8.20%E -3.98%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -6.54%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:15
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.60%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 05:00
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.84%E -2.17%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.19%E -2.31%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 08:15
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.72%E -0.453%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 18:36
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -1.72%E -0.453%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 18:35
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 16:50
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:14
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.89%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:14
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.21%E -6.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -1.72%E -0.453%K -0.614%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 07:24
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.79%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.62%EV -7.31%E -3.52%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.14%EV -10.26%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 05:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.31%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 07:24
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 05:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 05:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 05:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 05:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 11:49
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 11:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.65%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.27%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-31 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -10.77%E -3.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.58%EV -13.11%E -6.72%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -12.75%E -4.32%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.36%E -3.99%K -5.68%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-04 08:15
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -14.23%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-02 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%2.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%2.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%2.6%2026-09-04 13:50
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%2.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%3.1%2026-09-04 12:25
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.35%3.8%2026-09-04 14:05