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Dynamo Dresden v SV Darmstadt 98
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dynamo Dresden (Local)
Prediction 38.39%2.60fair odd
EV -0.186%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.116%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.80%38.10%38.43%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.462.452.6045.45%40.60%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit)
Prediction 34.17%2.93fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.915%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.71%34.42%34.20%37.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.652.8541.67%37.95%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.811%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.25%27.48%27.37%28.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.383.403.5432.26%29.61%29.41%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dynamo Dresden (Local): 38.39%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit): 34.17%; Draw: 27.44%. For Dynamo Dresden (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.605. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.600, with an expected value of -0.186%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-27 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.72%EV -1.72%E -0.672%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV -2.61%E -0.915%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.72%EV -1.72%E -0.672%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV -2.61%E -0.915%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-27 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-27 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 16:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-27 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.37%EV -2.49%E -0.980%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -2.87%E -0.811%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -2.61%E -0.915%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.44%EV -3.15%E -0.891%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -4.79%E -1.93%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.11%EV -17.99%E -7.49%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -4.79%E -1.93%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.11%EV -17.99%E -7.49%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 17:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-27 16:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 17:22 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.25%EV -6.71%E -2.46%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.42%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 16:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.26%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 16:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 16:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 16:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-27 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-27 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-27 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.13%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 17:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.00%EV -14.77%E -6.65%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.95%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -17.99%E -7.49%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-02-27 17:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |