L’École des cotes

Dynamo Dresden v SV Darmstadt 98

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dynamo Dresden (Local)

Prévision 38.39%2.60cote équitable
EV -0.186%
Avantage -0.071%
Kelly -0.116%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.80%38.10%38.43%39.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.462.452.6045.45%40.60%40.82%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.17%2.93cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.915%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.71%34.42%34.20%37.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.632.652.8541.67%37.95%37.74%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.44%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -0.811%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.25%27.48%27.37%28.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.383.403.5432.26%29.61%29.41%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-27 16:49
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 17:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 17:04
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 17:04
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 17:04
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 17:04
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 17:04
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 17:04
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 17:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -0.186%E -0.071%K -0.116%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 17:04
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.72%EV -1.72%E -0.672%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV -2.61%E -0.915%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 16:49
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.72%EV -1.72%E -0.672%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.88%EV -2.61%E -0.915%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-27 16:49
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-27 16:39
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 16:54
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 17:05
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 17:04
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -2.11%E -0.826%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 17:04
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.37%EV -2.49%E -0.980%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -2.87%E -0.811%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 17:24
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%EV -2.61%E -0.915%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.44%EV -3.15%E -0.891%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-27 17:15
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 16:40
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -4.79%E -1.93%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.11%EV -17.99%E -7.49%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 17:04
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 35.91%EV -4.79%E -1.93%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.11%EV -17.99%E -7.49%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-27 17:04
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 16:50
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 17:13
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 17:24
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 17:09
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 16:43
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 17:22
Suprabets2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.25%EV -6.71%E -2.46%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.42%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 16:44
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.26%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 17:24
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-27 17:23
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 17:10
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.09%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 17:09
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 16:34
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 17:15
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 16:39
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 17:09
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 16:45
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 16:45
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 16:44
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 16:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 16:40
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-27 16:39
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-27 17:15
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-27 17:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 17:09
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-27 17:09
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.13%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 17:08
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -9.46%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-27 17:09
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.00%EV -14.77%E -6.65%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.95%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.05%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.55%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-27 17:10
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -17.99%E -7.49%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-27 17:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.29%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-02-27 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-02-27 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-02-27 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-02-27 17:24
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-27 17:24