La scuola delle quote

Arminia Bielefeld v SV Darmstadt 98

Inizio: 2026-04-04 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Casa)

Previsione 41.08%2.43quota equa
EV -2.22%
Vantaggio -0.933%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.44%41.03%41.07%42.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.272.252.3848.78%44.14%44.44%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SV Darmstadt 98 (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.84%3.04quota equa
EV -1.80%
Vantaggio -0.600%
Kelly -0.902%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.94%32.88%32.84%34.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.772.802.9939.22%36.04%35.71%33.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.07%3.84quota equa
EV -2.49%
Vantaggio -0.666%
Kelly -0.909%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.09%26.09%26.09%27.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.523.553.7432.26%28.42%28.17%26.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%EV -2.22%E -0.933%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -3.44%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%EV -2.22%E -0.933%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -3.44%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 10:10
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -2.22%E -0.933%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -2.22%E -0.933%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 02:25
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 10:09
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:14
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:15
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.44%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -12.96%E -4.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:15
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.38%EV -1.80%E -0.600%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.89%EV -2.49%E -0.666%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 10:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 10:09
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 10:08
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 10:19
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 10:14
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.74%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.23%EV -7.38%E -2.62%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 10:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 10:10
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -3.11%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 10:29
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 10:09
Suprabets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -5.08%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%EV -6.92%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:08
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -6.07%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:09
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 10:27
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:14
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:15
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:15
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.74%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:14
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:20
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -7.38%E -2.62%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 10:14
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -7.38%E -2.62%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 10:15
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 10:09
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:09
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:09
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:10
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -14.60%E -5.62%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-01 00:04
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -14.60%E -5.62%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-01 00:04
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -8.38%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -16.25%E -6.37%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 10:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 10:15
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:09
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:09
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:09
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -10.85%E -5.00%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.72%EV -7.97%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 10:14
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.96%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 10:13
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.08%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -12.96%E -4.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 10:14
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -13.72%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 10:15
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.49%EV -13.72%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -12.96%E -4.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.72%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -13.62%E -5.18%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -19.18%E -6.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-04 10:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.76%EV -15.78%E -7.70%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.30%EV -12.96%E -4.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -13.96%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-26 17:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-04-04 10:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-04-04 10:30
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.4%2026-04-04 10:15