Die Schule der Quoten

Arminia Bielefeld v SV Darmstadt 98

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-04 11:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Heim)

Prognose 41.08%2.43faire Quote
EV -2.22%
Vorteil -0.933%
Kelly -1.61%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.38

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.44%41.03%41.07%42.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.052.272.252.3848.78%44.14%44.44%42.02%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

SV Darmstadt 98 (Auswärts)

Prognose 32.84%3.04faire Quote
EV -1.80%
Vorteil -0.600%
Kelly -0.902%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.99

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
31.94%32.88%32.84%34.68%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.552.772.802.9939.22%36.04%35.71%33.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.07%3.84faire Quote
EV -2.49%
Vorteil -0.666%
Kelly -0.909%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.09%26.09%26.09%27.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.103.523.553.7432.26%28.42%28.17%26.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%EV -2.22%E -0.933%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -3.44%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%EV -2.22%E -0.933%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%EV -3.44%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 10:10
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -2.22%E -0.933%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -2.22%E -0.933%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 02:25
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 10:09
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:14
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:15
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 39.44%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -12.96%E -4.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 10:15
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -4.69%E -2.02%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.38%EV -1.80%E -0.600%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.89%EV -2.49%E -0.666%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 10:20
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.53%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 10:09
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 10:08
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 10:19
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 10:14
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.74%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.23%EV -7.38%E -2.62%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 15:50
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 10:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.51%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 10:10
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -3.11%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 10:29
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 10:09
Suprabets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.32%EV -5.08%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%EV -6.92%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:08
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -6.07%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:09
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 10:27
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:14
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:15
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:15
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -5.74%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:14
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.14%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:20
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -7.38%E -2.62%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 10:14
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -7.38%E -2.62%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 10:15
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.44%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 10:09
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:09
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:09
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:10
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -14.60%E -5.62%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-01 00:04
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -14.60%E -5.62%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-01 00:04
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -8.38%E -3.76%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -16.25%E -6.37%K -10.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 10:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 10:15
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:09
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:09
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.62%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:09
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -10.85%E -5.00%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.72%EV -7.97%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 10:14
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.96%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 10:13
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.08%EV -11.67%E -5.43%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -12.96%E -4.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 10:14
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -13.72%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.05%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 10:15
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.49%EV -13.72%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -12.96%E -4.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.72%E -6.54%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -13.62%E -5.18%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -19.18%E -6.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-04 10:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.76%EV -15.78%E -7.70%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.30%EV -12.96%E -4.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -13.96%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-26 17:39
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16%0.6%2026-04-04 10:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-04-04 10:30
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.56%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%2.4%2026-04-04 10:15