A Escola das Odds

Arminia Bielefeld v Hannover 96

Início: 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Local)

Previsão 34.80%2.87odd justa
EV +2.67%
Vantagem +0.906%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.46%34.62%34.81%35.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.692.682.9541.67%37.14%37.31%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hannover 96 (Visitante)

Previsão 38.54%2.60odd justa
EV -2.89%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.22%38.72%38.55%41.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.382.392.5245.45%42.10%41.84%39.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.66%3.75odd justa
EV -3.76%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.80%26.66%26.64%28.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.433.453.6133.33%29.12%28.99%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV +2.67%E +0.906%K +1.37%G +0.037%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 00:30
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.45%EV -2.20%E -0.783%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 11:40
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.46%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.46%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 11:05
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 11:05
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:44
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.29%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 11:40
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.97%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:39
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:36
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:40
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 16:35
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -14.07%E -6.31%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 18:44
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -14.07%E -6.31%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 18:44
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -6.72%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -6.72%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -7.07%E -2.65%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:40
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:40
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.22%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:40
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Suprabets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -8.12%E -3.07%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -4.82%E -1.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:37
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -8.67%E -3.66%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -8.67%E -3.66%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.96%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.09%EV -12.14%E -5.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.37%EV -9.89%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 11:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 11:40
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.05%EV -14.45%E -6.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.27%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.02%E -6.67%K -10.01%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-28 11:40
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -16.47%E -6.86%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -17.35%E -5.60%K -8.26%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-02-28 11:40