L’École des cotes

Arminia Bielefeld v Hannover 96

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Local)

Prévision 34.80%2.87cote équitable
EV +2.67%
Avantage +0.906%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.46%34.62%34.81%35.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.692.682.9541.67%37.14%37.31%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hannover 96 (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.54%2.60cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.22%38.72%38.55%41.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.392.5245.45%42.10%41.84%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.66%3.75cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.80%26.66%26.64%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.433.453.6133.33%29.12%28.99%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV +2.67%E +0.906%K +1.37%G +0.037%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 00:30
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.45%EV -2.20%E -0.783%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 11:40
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.46%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.46%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 11:05
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 11:05
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:44
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.29%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 11:40
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.97%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:39
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:36
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:40
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 16:35
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -14.07%E -6.31%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 18:44
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -14.07%E -6.31%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 18:44
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -6.72%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -6.72%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -7.07%E -2.65%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:40
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:40
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.22%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:40
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Suprabets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -8.12%E -3.07%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -4.82%E -1.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:37
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -8.67%E -3.66%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -8.67%E -3.66%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.96%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.09%EV -12.14%E -5.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.37%EV -9.89%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 11:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 11:40
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.05%EV -14.45%E -6.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.27%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.02%E -6.67%K -10.01%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-28 11:40
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -16.47%E -6.86%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -17.35%E -5.60%K -8.26%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-02-28 11:40