La escuela de los momios

Arminia Bielefeld v Hannover 96

Inicio: 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arminia Bielefeld (Local)

Predicción 34.80%2.87momio equitativo
EV +2.67%
Ventaja +0.906%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.037%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.46%34.62%34.81%35.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.692.682.9541.67%37.14%37.31%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hannover 96 (Visitante)

Predicción 38.54%2.60momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%38.72%38.55%41.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.392.5245.45%42.10%41.84%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.66%3.75momio equitativo
EV -3.76%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.80%26.66%26.64%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.453.6133.33%29.12%28.99%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV +2.67%E +0.906%K +1.37%G +0.037%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 00:30
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -0.807%E -0.283%K -0.436%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -10.60%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 18:44
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.45%EV -2.20%E -0.783%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 11:40
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.46%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.46%EV -2.89%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 11:05
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 11:05
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:44
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -2.55%E -0.910%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 18:45
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.29%E -1.56%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 11:40
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -5.97%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:40
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:39
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:36
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:40
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 16:35
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -14.07%E -6.31%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 18:44
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -6.03%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -14.07%E -6.31%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-22 18:44
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -6.72%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -6.72%E -2.51%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -7.07%E -2.65%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.36%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:40
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 11:40
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.22%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:40
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.77%E -2.93%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Suprabets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.42%EV -8.12%E -3.07%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.86%EV -4.82%E -1.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:37
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:40
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.81%E -3.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -9.44%E -4.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -8.67%E -3.66%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -8.67%E -3.66%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.35%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.66%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Betclic (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 34.54%EV -10.20%E -3.96%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.09%EV -12.14%E -5.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.37%EV -9.89%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 11:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 11:40
NetBet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.05%EV -14.45%E -6.51%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.27%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -12.99%E -5.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -20.02%E -6.67%K -10.01%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-28 11:40
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -16.47%E -6.86%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -15.22%E -6.92%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -17.35%E -5.60%K -8.26%G +0.000%19.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.56%1.8%2026-02-28 11:40