Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.69
assuming max odds 4.75
assuming max odds 4.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 58.69%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 20.55%; Draw: 20.76%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -0.345%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -0.819%E -0.485%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -15.74%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 23:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 05:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 18:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.17%E -1.92%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.63%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 05:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.42%E -0.515%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.38%E -0.501%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -1.38%E -0.291%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.21%EV -2.79%E -0.590%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.04%EV -0.968%E -0.203%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.63%EV -6.70%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.55%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -9.69%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.55%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -9.69%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.90%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.38%E -0.501%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -1.38%E -0.291%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -3.41%E -0.725%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -2.42%E -0.515%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -2.42%E -0.515%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 10:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.41%E -0.725%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -0.345%E -0.072%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -2.38%E -0.501%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 10:38 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.46%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.46%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.18%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.05%EV -17.99%E -4.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -9.62%E -6.25%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -14.88%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -14.88%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.89%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.36%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.75%EV -25.26%E -7.02%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.57%EV -10.80%E -7.10%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.09%EV -14.71%E -3.54%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -14.88%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.98%EV -11.38%E -7.54%K -22.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.13%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98% | 0.2% | 2026-05-17 06:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.60% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |