L’École des cotes

1. FC Magdeburg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Score final : 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Prévision 58.69%1.70cote équitable
EV -0.819%
Avantage -0.485%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.50%58.49%58.77%60.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.591.591.6966.23%62.96%62.89%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.55%4.87cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.501%
Kelly -0.635%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.59%20.73%20.53%22.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.444.504.7525.00%22.55%22.22%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.76%4.82cote équitable
EV -0.345%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.091%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.69%20.79%20.70%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.354.334.8027.78%22.99%23.09%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -0.819%E -0.485%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -15.74%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 23:21
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 05:06
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 05:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 18:04
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.17%E -1.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.63%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:05
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.42%E -0.515%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:39
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:39
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.38%E -0.501%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -1.38%E -0.291%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.21%EV -2.79%E -0.590%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.04%EV -0.968%E -0.203%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.63%EV -6.70%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.55%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -9.69%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.55%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -9.69%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.90%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.38%E -0.501%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -1.38%E -0.291%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -3.41%E -0.725%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:38
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -2.42%E -0.515%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -2.42%E -0.515%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Suprabets1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:35
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.41%E -0.725%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -0.345%E -0.072%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -2.38%E -0.501%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:39
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 10:38
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.46%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.46%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:39
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.18%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.05%EV -17.99%E -4.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-17 08:10
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -9.62%E -6.25%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -14.88%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 10:39
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -14.88%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.89%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.36%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.75%EV -25.26%E -7.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.57%EV -10.80%E -7.10%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.09%EV -14.71%E -3.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -14.88%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.98%EV -11.38%E -7.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.13%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98%0.2%2026-05-17 06:45
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.60%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40