La escuela de los momios

1. FC Magdeburg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Inicio: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Magdeburg 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Predicción 58.69%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.819%
Ventaja -0.485%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.50%58.49%58.77%60.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.591.591.6966.23%62.96%62.89%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visitante)

Predicción 20.55%4.87momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -0.501%
Kelly -0.635%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.59%20.73%20.53%22.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.444.504.7525.00%22.55%22.22%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.76%4.82momio equitativo
EV -0.345%
Ventaja -0.072%
Kelly -0.091%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.69%20.79%20.70%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.354.334.8027.78%22.99%23.09%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.25%EV -0.819%E -0.485%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -15.74%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 23:21
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 05:06
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 05:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -1.99%E -1.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 18:04
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.17%E -1.92%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.63%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:05
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.42%E -0.515%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:39
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 10:39
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -5.51%E -3.42%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.38%E -0.501%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -1.38%E -0.291%K -0.369%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.21%EV -2.79%E -0.590%K -0.748%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.04%EV -0.968%E -0.203%K -0.257%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.63%EV -6.70%E -1.47%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.99%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.55%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -9.69%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -8.55%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -9.69%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.90%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -2.38%E -0.501%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -1.38%E -0.291%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -3.41%E -0.725%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:38
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -2.42%E -0.515%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.38%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -2.42%E -0.515%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Suprabets1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:35
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.47%EV -7.27%E -4.60%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.41%E -0.725%K -0.921%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -0.345%E -0.072%K -0.091%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -2.38%E -0.501%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.16%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -4.50%E -0.978%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:39
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.57%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 10:38
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.46%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.46%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -11.76%E -2.77%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:39
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.65%E -1.97%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.18%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.05%EV -17.99%E -4.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-17 08:10
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -9.62%E -6.25%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -17.79%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -12.80%E -3.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -10.10%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -14.88%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 10:39
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -9.57%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -14.88%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.89%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.36%EV -13.68%E -3.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.75%EV -25.26%E -7.02%K -9.72%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.57%EV -10.80%E -7.10%K -20.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.09%EV -14.71%E -3.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -14.88%E -3.63%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.98%EV -11.38%E -7.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.13%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -16.95%E -4.24%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.98%0.2%2026-05-17 06:45
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.61%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.60%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40