A Escola das Odds

1. FC Kaiserslautern v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Início: 2026-04-04 11:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Previsão 35.40%2.82odd justa
EV -2.30%
Vantagem -0.833%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.56%35.49%35.39%38.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.542.502.7644.44%39.34%40.00%36.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visitante)

Previsão 39.16%2.55odd justa
EV +4.17%
Vantagem +1.57%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescimento +0.105%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.08%39.16%39.19%40.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.422.402.6645.45%41.41%41.67%37.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.44%3.93odd justa
EV +1.76%
Vantagem +0.441%
Kelly +0.588%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.90%25.35%25.42%27.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.603.604.0032.26%27.82%27.78%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -13.98%E -5.75%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV +4.17%E +1.57%K +2.51%G +0.105%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.45%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 16:25
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV +1.82%E +0.699%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 10:19
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV +1.82%E +0.699%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 10:19
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV +1.82%E +0.699%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:19
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV +1.82%E +0.699%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:19
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV +1.82%E +0.699%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:20
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV +1.82%E +0.699%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:20
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV +1.82%E +0.699%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:20
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV +1.82%E +0.699%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:19
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV +1.82%E +0.699%K +1.14%G +0.021%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.142%E -0.056%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.69%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 10:19
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -0.142%E -0.056%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.69%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 10:20
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.92%EV -13.98%E -5.75%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.13%EV -0.142%E -0.056%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -9.69%E -2.73%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 10:20
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 35.22%EV -2.30%E -0.833%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -3.33%E -0.875%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 10:15
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 35.22%EV -2.30%E -0.833%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.20%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -3.33%E -0.875%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 10:15
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.04%EV -16.81%E -7.15%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -12.23%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:19
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.04%EV -16.81%E -7.15%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -12.23%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 10:19
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.72%EV -4.07%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.20%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.08%EV -1.80%E -0.466%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 10:20
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.93%EV -17.52%E -7.52%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.07%EV -4.06%E -1.66%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.99%EV -13.50%E -3.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-04 10:20
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.17%EV -5.62%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -7.14%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 07:50
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 10:14
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.60%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 10:10
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 10:27
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 10:14
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.33%E -0.875%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 10:19
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.60%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 10:19
Suprabets2.61I 38.31%NM 35.78%EV -7.61%E -2.91%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.91%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.31%EV -6.12%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:14
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 07:44
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 07:44
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -7.14%E -1.96%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.03%EV -20.35%E -9.05%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -17.32%E -5.33%K -7.70%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-22 18:19
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.41%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.90%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 10:29
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 07:44
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 07:44
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 10:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 10:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 10:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 10:10
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 10:15
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV +1.76%E +0.441%K +0.588%G +0.010%4.6%2026-04-04 10:09
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -2.65%E -0.964%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.33%E -0.875%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 10:08
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 10:09
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -3.33%E -0.875%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 10:10
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -3.33%E -0.875%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 10:10
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.87%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:44
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.41%E -2.34%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 10:19
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 10:13
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.50%E -3.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 10:14
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.50%E -3.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.50%E -3.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 10:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -13.50%E -3.97%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 10:14
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -6.90%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.04%EV -11.11%E -4.89%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.39%EV -8.92%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 07:49
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 07:45
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.63%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -13.85%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.96%E -3.13%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 07:45
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.23%EV -12.56%E -5.09%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -13.85%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.22%EV -12.23%E -3.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-04 10:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -15.04%E -6.27%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -13.85%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -21.13%E -6.82%K -10.06%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-04 10:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-04 10:30
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.26%1.5%2026-04-04 10:30
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-04-04 10:30