La scuola delle quote

VfL Wolfsburg v SC Paderborn

Inizio: 2026-05-21 18:30 UTC

Finale: VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 SC Paderborn

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

VfL Wolfsburg (Casa)

Previsione 57.76%1.73quota equa
EV +1.07%
Vantaggio +0.614%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.08%57.67%57.69%59.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.631.641.7563.69%61.20%60.98%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Paderborn (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.55%5.39quota equa
EV +3.86%
Vantaggio +0.689%
Kelly +0.839%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.88%18.68%18.69%20.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.065.005.6021.74%19.74%20.00%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.70%4.22quota equa
EV +0.710%
Vantaggio +0.167%
Kelly +0.219%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.22%23.65%23.62%25.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.703.963.984.2527.03%25.25%25.13%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +3.86%E +0.689%K +0.839%G +0.032%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 18:19
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.40%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.46%EV +2.38%E +0.431%K +0.526%G +0.013%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.15%EV -5.45%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 18:20
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV +2.01%E +0.365%K +0.446%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 18:20
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.23%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%EV +0.152%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-21 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.23%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%EV +0.152%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-21 18:20
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.152%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 18:19
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.13%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.89%EV -0.590%E -0.110%K -0.135%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.98%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.16%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.15%EV -0.776%E -0.145%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-21 18:19
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -2.63%E -0.501%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -0.474%E -0.113%K -0.148%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 18:20
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.63%E -0.501%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 18:18
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -2.63%E -0.501%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 18:19
Suprabets1.64I 60.98%NM 57.85%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -3.56%E -0.684%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.90%EV -5.92%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 18:07
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.63%EV -0.658%E -0.383%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 19.14%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.23%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-21 18:20
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.20%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV +0.710%E +0.167%K +0.219%G +0.002%4.1%2026-05-21 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 18:20
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 18:20
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 18:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 18:20
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 18:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -2.97%E -1.77%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -8.19%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 17:30
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -9.12%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-21 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.474%E -0.113%K -0.148%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 18:19
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 18:20
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 18:10
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 18:20
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-21 18:20
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.90%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 18:10
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV +1.07%E +0.614%K +1.43%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -12.83%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 06:10
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -8.74%E -5.53%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.69%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-21 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-05-21 18:20