La escuela de los momiosVfL Wolfsburg v SC Paderborn
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
VfL Wolfsburg (Local)
Predicción 57.76%1.73momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.614%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.08%57.67%57.69%59.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.641.7563.69%61.20%60.98%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SC Paderborn (Visitante)
Predicción 18.55%5.39momio equitativo
EV +3.86%
Ventaja +0.689%
Kelly +0.839%
Crecimiento +0.032%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.88%18.68%18.69%20.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.065.005.6021.74%19.74%20.00%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.70%4.22momio equitativo
EV +0.710%
Ventaja +0.167%
Kelly +0.219%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%23.65%23.62%25.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.963.984.2527.03%25.25%25.13%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +3.86%E +0.689%K +0.839%G +0.032% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.40%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.46%EV +2.38%E +0.431%K +0.526%G +0.013% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.15%EV -5.45%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV +2.01%E +0.365%K +0.446%G +0.009% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.23%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%EV +0.152%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.23%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%EV +0.152%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.152%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 18:19 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.13%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.89%EV -0.590%E -0.110%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.98%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.16%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.15%EV -0.776%E -0.145%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-21 18:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -2.63%E -0.501%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -0.474%E -0.113%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.63%E -0.501%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 18:18 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -2.63%E -0.501%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 18:19 |
| Suprabets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.85%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -3.56%E -0.684%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.90%EV -5.92%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:07 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.63%EV -0.658%E -0.383%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.14%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.23%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.20%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV +0.710%E +0.167%K +0.219%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -2.97%E -1.77%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -8.19%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 17:30 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -9.12%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.474%E -0.113%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 18:19 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.90%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV +1.07%E +0.614%K +1.43%G +0.015% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -12.83%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-21 06:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -8.74%E -5.53%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.69%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |