L’École des cotesVfL Wolfsburg v SC Paderborn
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
VfL Wolfsburg (Local)
Prévision 57.76%1.73cote équitable
EV +1.07%
Avantage +0.614%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.08%57.67%57.69%59.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.631.641.7563.69%61.20%60.98%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
SC Paderborn (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.55%5.39cote équitable
EV +3.86%
Avantage +0.689%
Kelly +0.839%
Croissance +0.032%
avec la cote maximale 5.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.88%18.68%18.69%20.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.065.005.6021.74%19.74%20.00%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.70%4.22cote équitable
EV +0.710%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.219%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%23.65%23.62%25.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.703.963.984.2527.03%25.25%25.13%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +3.86%E +0.689%K +0.839%G +0.032% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.40%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.46%EV +2.38%E +0.431%K +0.526%G +0.013% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.15%EV -5.45%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.03%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV +2.01%E +0.365%K +0.446%G +0.009% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -12.32%E -3.33%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.23%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%EV +0.152%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.23%EV -4.12%E -2.48%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.90%EV +0.152%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -4.03%E -0.995%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV +0.152%E +0.028%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 18:19 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.13%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.89%EV -0.590%E -0.110%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.98%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.16%EV -3.55%E -2.12%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 18.15%EV -0.776%E -0.145%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-21 18:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -2.63%E -0.501%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -0.474%E -0.113%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Caesars | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.63%E -0.501%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 18:18 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -2.63%E -0.501%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 18:19 |
| Suprabets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.85%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV -3.56%E -0.684%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.90%EV -5.92%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 18:07 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.63%EV -0.658%E -0.383%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 19.14%EV -5.60%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.23%EV -4.74%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.20%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV +0.710%E +0.167%K +0.219%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.43%E -3.97%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.21%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -7.27%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -2.97%E -1.77%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -8.19%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 17:30 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -9.12%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -8.77%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.59%E -4.74%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.474%E -0.113%K -0.148%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 18:19 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.75%EV -5.28%E -3.22%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.58%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -4.70%E -2.85%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.01%E -4.35%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.98%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.32%E -5.94%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.90%E -2.51%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.95%E -2.62%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-21 18:10 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.08%EV +1.07%E +0.614%K +1.43%G +0.015% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%EV -12.83%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.40%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-21 06:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -8.74%E -5.53%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.69%E -3.19%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -2.84%E -0.694%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-05-21 18:20 |