The School of OddsFSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn
Head to Head
Option 1: FSV Mainz 05 (Local)
Odds
1.5066.67%Min
1.6062.48%Mean
1.6062.50%Median
1.6859.52%Max
Consensus probabilities
56.10%1.783Min
59.32%1.686Max
58.16%1.720Mean
58.22%1.718Median
58.15%1.720IQM
58.29%1.716Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.68 under the IQM model: 58.15%
EV -2.31%Edge -1.37%Kelly -3.39%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: SC Paderborn (Visit)
Odds
4.1024.39%Min
4.8820.49%Mean
4.9020.41%Median
5.2818.94%Max
Consensus probabilities
18.08%5.531Min
20.52%4.872Max
19.25%5.195Mean
19.20%5.208Median
19.19%5.211IQM
19.11%5.234Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.28 under the IQM model: 19.19%
EV +1.32%Edge +0.250%Kelly +0.309%Growth +0.004%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.6027.78%Min
4.1124.32%Mean
4.1524.10%Median
4.3722.88%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.74%4.600Min
23.38%4.278Max
22.60%4.426Mean
22.58%4.430Median
22.66%4.413IQM
22.60%4.424Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.37 under the IQM model: 22.66%
EV -0.975%Edge -0.223%Kelly -0.289%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | FSV Mainz 05 (Local) | SC Paderborn (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52% NM 58.73%EV -2.31% E -1.37% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94% NM 18.69%EV +1.32% E +0.250% K +0.309% G +0.004% | 4.37I 22.88% NM 22.58%EV -0.975% E -0.223% K -0.289% G +0.000% | 1.3% | 2026-07-04 01:40 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.32%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 18.08%EV +0.746% E +0.142% K +0.176% G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.60%EV -4.83% E -1.15% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61% NM 58.79%EV -4.05% E -2.46% K -6.23% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 18.65%EV -0.213% E -0.041% K -0.051% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 22.56%EV -2.56% E -0.596% K -0.776% G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-04 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.90%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 18.12%EV -0.213% E -0.041% K -0.051% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.98%EV -7.09% E -1.73% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.90%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 18.12%EV -0.213% E -0.041% K -0.051% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.98%EV -7.09% E -1.73% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98% NM 57.87%EV -4.63% E -2.83% K -7.24% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.98%EV -4.05% E -0.810% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.15%EV -7.09% E -1.73% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.49%EV -5.80% E -3.58% K -9.35% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.95%EV -4.05% E -0.810% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.56%EV -4.83% E -1.15% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-03 17:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.49%EV -5.80% E -3.58% K -9.35% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.95%EV -4.05% E -0.810% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.56%EV -4.83% E -1.15% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-03 14:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 57.99%EV -6.38% E -3.96% K -10.46% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.67%EV -4.05% E -0.810% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.34%EV -9.36% E -2.34% K -3.12% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-03 16:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.57%EV -5.80% E -3.58% K -9.35% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 19.36%EV -5.97% E -1.22% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 22.07%EV -2.56% E -0.596% K -0.776% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 11:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.26%EV -5.80% E -3.58% K -9.35% G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41% NM 19.26%EV -5.97% E -1.22% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.47%EV -4.83% E -1.15% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 14:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89% NM 58.79%EV -7.54% E -4.74% K -12.78% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.47%EV -7.89% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.74%EV -2.56% E -0.596% K -0.776% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 14:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.21%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.61%EV -8.85% E -1.86% K -2.36% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.18%EV -4.83% E -1.15% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 57.58%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.39%EV -8.85% E -1.86% K -2.36% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.03%EV -9.36% E -2.34% K -3.12% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.67%EV -8.70% E -5.54% K -15.27% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.39%EV -8.85% E -1.86% K -2.36% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.93%EV -4.83% E -1.15% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-03 15:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50% NM 57.41%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.34%EV -8.85% E -1.86% K -2.36% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.25%EV -10.49% E -2.66% K -3.56% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-03 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 57.78%EV -6.96% E -4.35% K -11.60% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.67%EV -9.81% E -2.09% K -2.65% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.55%EV -7.09% E -1.73% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79% NM 57.79%EV -11.61% E -7.64% K -22.33% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 19.10%EV -11.73% E -2.55% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.12%EV -13.89% E -3.66% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-07-03 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36% NM 57.38%EV -11.03% E -7.21% K -20.81% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 19.08%EV -11.73% E -2.55% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81% NM 23.54%EV -15.48% E -4.15% K -5.67% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-03 17:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69% NM 57.43%EV -8.70% E -5.54% K -15.27% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV -13.65% E -3.03% K -3.90% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.54%EV -9.36% E -2.34% K -3.12% G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 56.10%EV -12.77% E -8.52% K -25.55% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 20.52%EV -21.32% E -5.20% K -6.88% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 23.38%EV -18.42% E -5.12% K -7.09% G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-07-03 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | FSV Mainz 05 (Local) | SC Paderborn (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36% | 4.40I 22.73% | 3.55I 28.17% | 16.3% | 2026-07-03 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00% | 1.25I 80.00% | 1.01I 99.01% | 159.0% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00% | 1.25I 80.00% | 1.01I 99.01% | 159.0% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00% | 1.25I 80.00% | 1.01I 99.01% | 159.0% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |