L’École des cotes

FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn

2026-08-29 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FSV Mainz 05 (Local)

Prévision 55.66%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -3.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%55.72%55.67%57.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.661.671.7563.29%60.11%60.06%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Paderborn (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.58%4.86cote équitable
EV +1.27%
Avantage +0.258%
Kelly +0.324%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.59%20.60%20.53%21.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.554.504.9223.81%21.96%22.22%20.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.76%4.21cote équitable
EV -0.218%
Avantage -0.052%
Kelly -0.068%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.62%23.68%23.80%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.633.933.994.2027.55%25.47%25.06%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 56.33%EV -2.60%E -1.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 20.03%EV +1.27%E +0.258%K +0.324%G +0.004%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.64%EV -0.931%E -0.223%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-25 21:35
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.36%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.99%EV -0.172%E -0.036%K -0.045%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.59%E -0.633%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-25 21:30
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -5.94%E -3.51%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -1.20%E -0.250%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 17:07
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.30%EV -3.71%E -2.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.51%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV -0.218%E -0.052%K -0.068%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-10 14:04
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 05:55
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 01:59
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 17:31
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.82%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 05:00
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 20:05
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -2.59%E -0.633%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 07:50
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -6.49%E -3.86%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 06:00
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.89%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -5.32%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -3.78%E -0.934%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 12:14
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.32%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 14:45
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.32%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:35
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -10.39%E -6.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -5.32%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 06:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -6.49%E -3.86%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -6.35%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.56%EV -5.44%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 13:40
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -3.71%E -2.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 15:34
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 01:59
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 15:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:04
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 12:59
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 05:59
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 21:40
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 04:29
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 05:58
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -8.41%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.16%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 02:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -8.41%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.16%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 02:00
Suprabets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.72%EV -8.30%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:08
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.45%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -8.53%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 12:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 06:05
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 06:05
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -10.94%E -6.84%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -10.94%E -6.84%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 01:59
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.61%E -4.58%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -6.16%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:59
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 21:39
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 55.01%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-07 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.73%EV -12.06%E -7.63%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -12.10%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 05:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.55%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-16 23:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.83%E -6.07%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -13.55%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.05%EV -8.72%E -5.32%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -13.55%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -8.53%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.05%EV -11.50%E -7.23%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -13.55%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.11%EV -13.76%E -3.79%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 04:59
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.28%EV -12.06%E -7.63%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -13.55%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.93%EV -13.28%E -3.64%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-22 10:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.25%4.4%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.25%4.4%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.25%4.4%2026-07-25 17:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 54.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%16.5%2026-07-25 05:00