La escuela de los momios

FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn

2026-08-29 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FSV Mainz 05 (Local)

Predicción 55.66%1.80momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -3.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.09%55.72%55.67%57.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.661.671.7563.29%60.11%60.06%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Paderborn (Visitante)

Predicción 20.58%4.86momio equitativo
EV +1.27%
Ventaja +0.258%
Kelly +0.324%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.59%20.60%20.53%21.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.554.504.9223.81%21.96%22.22%20.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.76%4.21momio equitativo
EV -0.218%
Ventaja -0.052%
Kelly -0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.62%23.68%23.80%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.633.933.994.2027.55%25.47%25.06%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 56.33%EV -2.60%E -1.48%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 20.03%EV +1.27%E +0.258%K +0.324%G +0.004%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.64%EV -0.931%E -0.223%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.4%2026-07-25 21:35
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.36%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.99%EV -0.172%E -0.036%K -0.045%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.59%E -0.633%K -0.837%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-25 21:30
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -5.94%E -3.51%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -1.20%E -0.250%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 17:07
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.30%EV -3.71%E -2.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.51%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV -0.218%E -0.052%K -0.068%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-10 14:04
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.94%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-22 05:55
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 01:59
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.12%EV -9.28%E -5.69%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -2.23%E -0.470%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-16 17:31
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.82%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 05:00
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 20:05
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.24%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 20:10
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -2.59%E -0.633%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-06 07:50
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.26%EV -6.49%E -3.86%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 06:00
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.89%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -5.32%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -3.78%E -0.934%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 12:14
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.32%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 14:45
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.32%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:35
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -10.39%E -6.45%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -5.32%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 06:00
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -6.49%E -3.86%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -6.35%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.56%EV -5.44%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 13:40
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -3.71%E -2.14%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 15:34
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 03:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 15:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 14:04
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 12:59
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-23 05:59
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-22 21:40
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 04:29
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.38%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 05:58
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -8.41%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.16%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:39
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -8.41%E -1.89%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.16%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:39
Suprabets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.48%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.72%EV -8.30%E -2.15%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 15:08
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.45%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -8.53%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 12:15
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 06:05
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 06:05
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -10.94%E -6.84%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -10.94%E -6.84%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -9.43%E -2.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-07 04:35
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.91%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 03:39
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -7.61%E -4.58%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -6.16%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-14 12:59
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.35%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.35%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 21:39
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 55.01%EV -8.16%E -4.95%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -9.72%E -2.56%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-07 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.73%EV -12.06%E -7.63%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -11.49%E -2.67%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -12.10%E -3.27%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 05:00
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.55%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-16 23:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.83%E -6.07%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -13.55%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -4.97%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.05%EV -8.72%E -5.32%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -13.55%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -8.53%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-14 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.05%EV -11.50%E -7.23%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -13.55%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.11%EV -13.76%E -3.79%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 04:59
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.28%EV -12.06%E -7.63%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -13.55%E -3.23%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.93%EV -13.28%E -3.64%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-22 10:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.25%4.4%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.25%4.4%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.25%4.4%2026-07-25 17:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 54.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%16.5%2026-07-25 05:00