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Borussia Monchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05

2026-09-19 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Borussia Monchengladbach (Local)

Prediction 36.99%2.70fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.464%
Kelly -0.742%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.46%37.00%36.98%38.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.6743.48%39.76%40.00%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FSV Mainz 05 (Visit)

Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.637%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.16%37.44%37.35%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6343.48%40.15%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.62%3.90fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -0.749%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.62%25.56%25.67%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.703.8229.41%27.44%27.03%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Borussia Monchengladbach (Local): 36.99%; FSV Mainz 05 (Visit): 37.39%; Draw: 25.62%. For Borussia Monchengladbach (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.67, with an expected value of -1.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.84%EV -1.24%E -0.464%K -0.742%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.40%EV -1.67%E -0.637%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.75%EV -2.11%E -0.553%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-06 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83%EV -2.72%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -3.17%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -3.65%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 19:25
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.83%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 19:15
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.83%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -4.57%E -1.77%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.41%EV -5.79%E -2.30%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.04%EV -7.24%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 18:20
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:15
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:10
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.67%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:10
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:15
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.63%E -0.691%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:15
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.63%E -0.691%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.63%E -0.691%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 19:15
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.03%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 19:10
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 19:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.31%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.31%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 17:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.31%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.31%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:09
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.27%E -4.28%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.38%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.76%EV -9.54%E -2.70%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -13.08%E -5.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -12.14%E -5.17%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.31%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 17:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -14.92%E -6.49%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -8.40%E -3.43%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -10.31%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -14.92%E -6.49%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -14.01%E -6.09%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -12.88%E -3.79%K -5.36%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-06 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 36.35%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.19%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.46%10.0%2026-09-06 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 19:15