StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Borussia Monchengladbach v FSV Mainz 05

2026-09-19 13:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Wedstrijduitslag

31 wedaanbieders (12 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Borussia Monchengladbach (Thuis)

Prognose 36.42%2.75margevrije odds
EV +0.875%
Voordeel +0.316%
Kelly +0.494%
Groei +0.004%

bij maximale odds 2.77

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
34.73%36.31%36.44%37.73%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.352.552.552.7742.55%39.22%39.22%36.10%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

FSV Mainz 05 (Uit)

Prognose 38.04%2.63margevrije odds
EV -3.00%
Voordeel -1.18%
Kelly -1.94%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.55

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
36.84%38.13%37.97%39.34%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.252.462.502.5544.44%40.69%40.00%39.22%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 25.54%3.91margevrije odds
EV -2.42%
Voordeel -0.634%
Kelly -0.859%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.82

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
24.62%25.55%25.59%26.32%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.403.653.703.8229.41%27.41%27.03%26.18%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Borussia Monchengladbach (Thuis): 36.42%; FSV Mainz 05 (Uit): 38.04%; Gelijkspel: 25.54%. Voor Borussia Monchengladbach (Thuis) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 2.75. 1 wedaanbieder biedt odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 2.77, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +0.875%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (31 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitGelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.57%EV +0.875%E +0.316%K +0.494%G +0.004%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.64%EV -3.00%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.79%EV -2.42%E -0.634%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-06 20:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%EV -0.946%E -0.348%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.60%EV -4.52%E -1.80%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.77%EV -3.96%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 20:09
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -0.946%E -0.348%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -7.95%E -3.28%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 20:10
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -0.946%E -0.348%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -7.95%E -3.28%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 20:10
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%EV -1.67%E -0.620%K -0.985%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -7.95%E -3.28%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 20:15
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.32%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.32%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 20:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.32%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 20:19
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.32%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.00%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.00%E -1.18%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 19:15
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:15
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -6.80%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:15
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -6.80%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.80%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.80%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.06%EV -8.23%E -3.27%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.34%EV -9.85%E -4.15%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.32%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 20:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 19:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.80%E -2.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 19:15
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 19:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 17:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.90%E -1.96%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 19:09
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 20:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.51%E -5.44%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.73%EV -14.42%E -6.14%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -8.71%E -3.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.55%EV -14.42%E -6.14%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -14.41%E -6.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -13.15%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-06 20:24
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%7.1%2026-09-06 20:10
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 36.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.60%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%16.6%2026-09-06 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 32.90%1.02I 98.04%NM 34.19%186.7%2026-09-06 19:15