La scuola delle quote

Bayern Munich v VfB Stuttgart

2026-08-28 18:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

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57 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bayern Munich (Casa)

Previsione 73.06%1.37quota equa
EV -2.83%
Vantaggio -2.13%
Kelly -8.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.23%73.11%73.01%75.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.61%78.74%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

VfB Stuttgart (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.20%8.20quota equa
EV +15.88%
Vantaggio +1.67%
Kelly +1.87%
Crescita +0.297%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.22%12.08%12.25%13.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.757.727.509.5014.81%12.95%13.33%10.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 14.74%6.78quota equa
EV +3.21%
Vantaggio +0.458%
Kelly +0.534%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.54%14.81%14.73%16.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.606.296.507.0017.86%15.89%15.38%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.36%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.23%EV +15.88%E +1.67%K +1.87%G +0.297%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV -0.480%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-23 05:59
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +13.44%E +1.44%K +1.62%G +0.218%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -13.01%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 22:15
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +13.44%E +1.44%K +1.62%G +0.218%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -13.01%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 22:15
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +9.78%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 10:45
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +9.78%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 19:40
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 74.51%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 11.05%EV +8.56%E +0.962%K +1.08%G +0.093%6.81I 14.68%NM 14.44%EV +0.405%E +0.059%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-22 19:04
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.53%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.01%EV +7.34%E +0.834%K +0.941%G +0.069%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.46%EV -1.22%E -0.182%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 19:03
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV +6.73%E +0.769%K +0.868%G +0.058%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 17:40
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.17%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +6.73%E +0.769%K +0.868%G +0.058%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 05:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +3.68%E +0.433%K +0.491%G +0.018%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-09 08:30
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.56%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.49%EV -2.69%E -0.408%K -0.481%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 05:00
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 09:54
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 05:45
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 72.97%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 20:15
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.62%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +3.21%E +0.458%K +0.534%G +0.017%5.5%2026-07-21 08:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -15.22%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 10:45
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-06 17:40
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-06 17:40
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -15.22%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-06 17:39
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -15.22%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 08:38
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-06 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.66%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -5.47%E -0.706%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -0.480%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 14:15
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.66%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -5.47%E -0.706%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -0.480%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 14:15
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.34%EV -7.91%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.88%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 09:54
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.83%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:34
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.55%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 04:55
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 01:54
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 17:31
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 09:54
Suprabets1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.56%EV -10.96%E -1.50%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 09:50
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.22%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.74%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 15:34
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 71.95%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 09:55
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.05%EV -12.33%E -10.27%K -61.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.09%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -13.01%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:20
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:20
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 13:45
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.29%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -8.59%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 04:54
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 71.94%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.70%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 09:54
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 19:14
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.76%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.88%EV -17.06%E -2.51%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.36%EV -15.96%E -2.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 05:00
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 71.23%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -17.67%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -14.49%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 71.23%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -17.67%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -14.49%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.33%EV -10.14%E -8.24%K -44.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -17.67%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.67%EV -17.44%E -3.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 04:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 70.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.13%17.0%2026-07-25 04:55