La escuela de los momios

Bayern Munich v VfB Stuttgart

2026-08-28 18:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bayern Munich (Local)

Predicción 73.06%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -2.13%
Kelly -8.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.23%73.11%73.01%75.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.61%78.74%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

VfB Stuttgart (Visitante)

Predicción 12.20%8.20momio equitativo
EV +15.88%
Ventaja +1.67%
Kelly +1.87%
Crecimiento +0.297%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.22%12.08%12.25%13.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.757.727.509.5014.81%12.95%13.33%10.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 14.74%6.78momio equitativo
EV +3.21%
Ventaja +0.458%
Kelly +0.534%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.54%14.81%14.73%16.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.606.296.507.0017.86%15.89%15.38%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.36%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.23%EV +15.88%E +1.67%K +1.87%G +0.297%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV -0.480%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-23 05:59
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +13.44%E +1.44%K +1.62%G +0.218%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -13.01%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 22:15
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +13.44%E +1.44%K +1.62%G +0.218%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -13.01%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 22:15
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +9.78%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 22:15
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +9.78%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 19:40
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 74.51%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 11.05%EV +8.56%E +0.962%K +1.08%G +0.093%6.81I 14.68%NM 14.44%EV +0.405%E +0.059%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-22 19:04
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.53%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.01%EV +7.34%E +0.834%K +0.941%G +0.069%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.46%EV -1.22%E -0.182%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 19:03
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV +6.73%E +0.769%K +0.868%G +0.058%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 17:40
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.17%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +6.73%E +0.769%K +0.868%G +0.058%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 05:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +3.68%E +0.433%K +0.491%G +0.018%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-09 08:30
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.56%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.49%EV -2.69%E -0.408%K -0.481%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 05:00
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 09:54
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 05:45
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 72.97%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 20:15
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.62%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +3.21%E +0.458%K +0.534%G +0.017%5.5%2026-07-21 08:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -15.22%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 21:44
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-06 17:40
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-06 17:40
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -15.22%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-06 17:39
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -15.22%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 08:38
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-06 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.66%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -5.47%E -0.706%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -0.480%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 14:15
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.66%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -5.47%E -0.706%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -0.480%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 14:15
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.34%EV -7.91%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.88%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 09:54
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.83%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:34
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.55%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 04:55
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 01:54
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 17:31
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 09:54
Suprabets1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.56%EV -10.96%E -1.50%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 09:50
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.22%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.74%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 15:34
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 71.95%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 09:55
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.05%EV -12.33%E -10.27%K -61.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.09%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -13.01%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:20
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:20
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 13:45
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.29%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -8.59%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 04:55
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 71.94%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.70%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 09:54
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 19:14
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.76%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.88%EV -17.06%E -2.51%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.36%EV -15.96%E -2.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 05:00
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 71.23%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -17.67%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -14.49%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 71.23%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -17.67%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -14.49%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.33%EV -10.14%E -8.24%K -44.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -17.67%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.67%EV -17.44%E -3.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 04:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 70.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.13%17.0%2026-07-25 04:55