L’École des cotes

Bayern Munich v VfB Stuttgart

2026-08-28 18:30 UTC — Bundesliga - Germany

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bayern Munich (Local)

Prévision 73.06%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -2.13%
Kelly -8.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.23%73.11%73.01%75.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.271.3383.33%78.61%78.74%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VfB Stuttgart (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.20%8.20cote équitable
EV +15.88%
Avantage +1.67%
Kelly +1.87%
Croissance +0.297%

avec la cote maximale 9.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.22%12.08%12.25%13.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.757.727.509.5014.81%12.95%13.33%10.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.74%6.78cote équitable
EV +3.21%
Avantage +0.458%
Kelly +0.534%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.54%14.81%14.73%16.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.606.296.507.0017.86%15.89%15.38%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 75.36%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.23%EV +15.88%E +1.67%K +1.87%G +0.297%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.40%EV -0.480%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-23 05:59
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +13.44%E +1.44%K +1.62%G +0.218%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -13.01%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 22:15
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +13.44%E +1.44%K +1.62%G +0.218%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -13.01%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 22:15
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +9.78%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 22:15
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +9.78%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.120%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-23 19:40
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 74.51%EV -3.56%E -2.70%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 11.05%EV +8.56%E +0.962%K +1.08%G +0.093%6.81I 14.68%NM 14.44%EV +0.405%E +0.059%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-22 19:04
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.53%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.01%EV +7.34%E +0.834%K +0.941%G +0.069%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.46%EV -1.22%E -0.182%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-22 19:03
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV +6.73%E +0.769%K +0.868%G +0.058%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 17:40
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.17%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +6.73%E +0.769%K +0.868%G +0.058%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 05:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +3.68%E +0.433%K +0.491%G +0.018%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-09 08:30
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.56%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.49%EV -2.69%E -0.408%K -0.481%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 05:00
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 09:54
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.55%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 05:45
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 72.97%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.18%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 20:15
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.62%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.85%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +3.21%E +0.458%K +0.534%G +0.017%5.5%2026-07-21 08:10
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -15.22%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 21:44
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-06 17:40
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-06 17:40
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -15.22%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-06 17:39
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -15.22%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 08:38
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -2.42%E -0.302%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-06 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.66%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -5.47%E -0.706%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -0.480%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 14:15
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.66%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -5.47%E -0.706%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV -0.480%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-20 14:15
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 72.78%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.34%EV -7.91%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.88%EV -7.70%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 09:54
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 72.36%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.83%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 15:34
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.55%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 04:55
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 01:54
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:34
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:35
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:40
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:39
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 04:45
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 10:05
PMU (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-16 17:31
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -8.52%E -1.14%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 09:54
Suprabets1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -7.22%E -5.68%K -26.72%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.56%EV -10.96%E -1.50%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 09:50
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -2.83%E -2.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.22%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.74%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-10 15:34
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 71.95%EV -6.48%E -5.07%K -23.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 09:55
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 09:55
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.05%EV -12.33%E -10.27%K -61.65%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.09%EV -11.57%E -1.60%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.86%EV -13.01%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:20
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.02%E -3.86%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 19:20
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -5.75%E -4.46%K -19.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -4.17%E -0.641%K -0.757%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 13:45
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.29%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -8.59%E -1.39%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 04:55
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 71.94%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-06 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 72.70%EV -9.41%E -7.59%K -39.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.42%EV -7.85%E -1.26%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-22 09:54
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 72.10%EV -8.68%E -6.94%K -34.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.62%E -2.09%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -11.54%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-06 19:14
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.76%EV -10.87%E -8.91%K -49.40%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.88%EV -17.06%E -2.51%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.36%EV -15.96%E -2.80%K -3.40%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 05:00
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 71.23%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -17.67%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -14.49%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 71.23%EV -7.95%E -6.31%K -30.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -17.67%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -14.49%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-07 04:35
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.33%EV -10.14%E -8.24%K -44.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -17.67%E -2.62%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.67%EV -17.44%E -3.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 04:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 70.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.13%17.0%2026-07-25 04:55