Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 13:30 UTC

Final: Bayer Leverkusen 4–0 Union Berlin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bayer Leverkusen (Local)

Prediction 65.11%1.54fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -4.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.85%65.04%65.10%67.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.441.441.5072.99%69.58%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 15.78%6.34fair odd
EV +10.44%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.182%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.84%15.80%15.86%18.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.146.117.0020.00%16.29%16.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.11%5.23fair odd
EV +0.353%
Edge +0.067%
Kelly +0.083%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.18%19.16%19.04%20.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.854.905.2522.73%20.63%20.41%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bayer Leverkusen (Local): 65.11%; Union Berlin (Visit): 15.78%; Draw: 19.11%. For Union Berlin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.34. 24 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.79%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +10.44%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.79%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +10.44%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 10:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.79%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +10.44%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.79%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +10.44%E +1.49%K +1.74%G +0.182%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.37%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 10:30
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.07%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV +6.50%E +0.963%K +1.13%G +0.073%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.52%EV +0.353%E +0.067%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 10:14
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.24%EV -6.90%E -4.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV +6.50%E +0.963%K +1.13%G +0.073%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 10:30
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.53%EV -2.34%E -1.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.12%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.35%EV -2.90%E -0.570%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.7%2026-09-04 12:30
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 03:10
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -6.90%E -4.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -6.34%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:25
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 20:10
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 10:30
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 10:29
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -8.20%E -5.81%K -20.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -10.80%E -7.88%K -29.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV +2.55%E +0.393%K +0.464%G +0.012%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -8.25%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 20:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.48%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.14%EV +0.975%E +0.152%K +0.181%G +0.002%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 12:28
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.49%EV -8.20%E -5.81%K -20.00%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV +0.975%E +0.152%K +0.181%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 10:30
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.66%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV +0.975%E +0.152%K +0.181%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.66%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV +0.975%E +0.152%K +0.181%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 10:30
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.66%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV +0.975%E +0.152%K +0.181%G +0.002%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.21%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.27%EV -0.130%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.52%EV -0.220%E -0.042%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 04:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.21%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.27%EV -0.130%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.52%EV -0.220%E -0.042%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 04:35
BetUS🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.21%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 15.27%EV -0.130%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.52%EV -0.220%E -0.042%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 04:29
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.58%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -0.603%E -0.096%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.33%EV -5.95%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:44
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.41%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.93%EV -0.603%E -0.096%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.67%EV -13.03%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:20
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.41%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.93%EV -0.603%E -0.096%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.67%EV -13.03%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -10.15%E -7.36%K -26.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -1.39%E -0.223%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -10.15%E -7.36%K -26.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -1.39%E -0.223%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.57%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.25%EV -2.18%E -0.352%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -0.603%E -0.116%K -0.144%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:59
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.99%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.00%EV -5.18%E -0.862%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.01%EV -3.28%E -0.648%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.13%EV -4.94%E -3.39%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.34%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 10:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.34%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 06:20
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.34%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 09:45
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.35%EV -6.90%E -4.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.34%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -6.34%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 08:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.34%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 10:14
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -5.34%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -5.34%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -5.34%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -15.89%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 11:20
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -5.34%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 13:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.85%E -6.32%K -22.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -5.34%E -0.889%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -12.07%E -2.62%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.11%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.00%EV -6.91%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.09%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:40
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.09%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.16%EV -7.55%E -5.31%K -17.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.34%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 11:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.48%EV -6.90%E -4.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -8.49%E -1.46%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:19
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 09:40
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.41%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.13%EV -5.38%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -4.29%E -2.92%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.34%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 11:29
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:40
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.16%EV -6.90%E -4.82%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.20%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.28%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.98%E -3.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 20:49
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -3.64%E -2.46%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -13.22%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.60%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -13.22%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.51%E -0.493%K -0.613%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:34
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.61%EV -5.59%E -3.86%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -13.22%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 12:15
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.22%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 20:03
Suprabets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.77%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -13.22%E -2.40%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -10.16%E -2.16%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 10:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.32%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -14.80%E -2.74%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -4.43%E -0.885%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:34
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -6.24%E -4.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -21.11%E -4.22%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.20%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.69%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%0.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.69%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%0.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.69%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%0.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.69%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%0.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%1.1%2026-09-04 11:55
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.57%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%1.5%2026-09-04 14:25