Idioma:Español
Bayer Leverkusen v Union Berlin
Resultado del partido
Bayer Leverkusen (Local)
Predicción 63.69%1.57momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.18%63.65%63.54%65.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.461.5571.43%68.35%68.73%64.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Union Berlin (Visitante)
Predicción 16.56%6.04momio equitativo
EV +3.47%
Ventaja +0.556%
Kelly +0.661%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.25%16.58%16.68%18.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.615.556.2521.74%17.82%18.02%16.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.75%5.06momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.247%
Kelly -0.309%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.85%19.77%19.78%21.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.674.755.0023.26%21.42%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Bayer Leverkusen (Local): 63.69%; Union Berlin (Visitante): 16.56%; Empate: 19.75%. Para Union Berlin (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 6.04. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.47%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.94%EV -4.46%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.58%EV +3.47%E +0.556%K +0.661%G +0.023% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-23 13:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.29%EV -7.01%E -4.80%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +3.47%E +0.556%K +0.661%G +0.023% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -3.21%E -0.655%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 13:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.55%EV -1.28%E -0.825%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 16.02%EV +1.82%E +0.295%K +0.353%G +0.006% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 20.44%EV -4.79%E -0.994%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -0.666%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.666%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.666%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -0.666%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -0.666%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 13:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -0.666%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -10.83%E -7.74%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -0.666%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 13:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -4.80%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -6.37%E -4.34%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.62%EV -5.63%E -0.988%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -1.23%E -0.247%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.28%EV -4.46%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -7.29%E -1.30%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -4.46%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -13.09%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 12:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -4.46%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -14.47%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -4.46%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -14.47%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -4.46%E -2.98%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -14.47%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.94%E -1.63%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-23 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -12.26%E -2.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -13.08%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -6.17%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.36%EV -5.74%E -3.88%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -13.08%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.52%EV -6.37%E -4.34%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -13.08%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -7.65%E -5.27%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.32%EV -13.08%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.98%EV -10.12%E -2.22%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.22%E -3.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.06%EV -9.56%E -6.73%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -20.53%E -4.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -11.11%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-23 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.18%EV -10.20%E -7.23%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.75%EV -23.84%E -5.18%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.06%EV -15.06%E -3.50%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.68% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.80% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 60.83% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.92% | 16.6% | 2026-08-23 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 26.37% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 36.82% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 36.82% | 156.2% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 26.37% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 36.82% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 36.82% | 156.2% | 2026-08-23 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 32.79% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 34.42% | 187.7% | 2026-08-23 12:30 |