Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

USL Dunkerque v Clermont

Kickoff: 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC

Final: USL Dunkerque 1–1 Clermont

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USL Dunkerque (Local)

Prediction 51.52%1.94fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.80%51.55%51.48%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.791.8658.48%55.94%55.87%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clermont (Visit)

Prediction 22.15%4.51fair odd
EV +0.115%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.033%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%22.17%22.27%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.164.204.5226.32%24.02%23.81%22.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.338%
Kelly -0.461%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.82%26.28%26.25%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.50%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USL Dunkerque (Local): 51.52%; Clermont (Visit): 22.15%; Draw: 26.33%. For Clermont (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.115%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.59%EV -4.17%E -2.24%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:30
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.59%EV -4.17%E -2.24%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -11.38%E -6.62%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -0.328%E -0.073%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -11.38%E -6.62%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 11:49
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.85%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.85%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 10:59
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:13
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.27%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.50%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 13:49
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.32%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 10:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.27%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:34
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -8.29%E -4.66%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -8.29%E -4.66%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.49%EV -12.85%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:26
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -8.81%E -4.98%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.80%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 13:10
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:33
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -10.35%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -10.35%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -10.87%E -6.28%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 14:13
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -10.35%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.62%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 10:59
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -14.72%E -3.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:30