Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

USL Dunkerque v Clermont

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC

Score final : USL Dunkerque 1–1 Clermont

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

USL Dunkerque (Local)

Prévision 51.52%1.94cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -2.24%
Kelly -4.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.80%51.55%51.48%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.711.791.791.8658.48%55.94%55.87%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Clermont (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.15%4.51cote équitable
EV +0.115%
Avantage +0.026%
Kelly +0.033%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.55%22.17%22.27%23.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.164.204.5226.32%24.02%23.81%22.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.33%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.338%
Kelly -0.461%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.82%26.28%26.25%27.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.50%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : USL Dunkerque (Local) : 51.52% ; Clermont (Visiteur) : 22.15% ; Match nul : 26.33%. Pour Clermont (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.51. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.52, soit une espérance positive de +0.115%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.59%EV -4.17%E -2.24%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:30
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.59%EV -4.17%E -2.24%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -11.38%E -6.62%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -0.328%E -0.073%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -11.38%E -6.62%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 11:49
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.85%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.85%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 10:59
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:13
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.27%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.50%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 13:49
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.32%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 10:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.27%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:34
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -8.29%E -4.66%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -8.29%E -4.66%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.49%EV -12.85%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:26
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -8.81%E -4.98%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.80%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 13:10
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:33
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -10.35%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -10.35%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -10.87%E -6.28%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 14:13
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -10.35%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.62%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 10:59
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -14.72%E -3.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:30