Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

USL Dunkerque v Clermont

Inicio: 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC

Final: USL Dunkerque 1–1 Clermont

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

USL Dunkerque (Local)

Predicción 51.52%1.94momio equitativo
EV -4.17%
Ventaja -2.24%
Kelly -4.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.80%51.55%51.48%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.791.791.8658.48%55.94%55.87%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Clermont (Visitante)

Predicción 22.15%4.51momio equitativo
EV +0.115%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.033%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%22.17%22.27%23.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.164.204.5226.32%24.02%23.81%22.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.33%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.338%
Kelly -0.461%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.82%26.28%26.25%27.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.50%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: USL Dunkerque (Local): 51.52%; Clermont (Visitante): 22.15%; Empate: 26.33%. Para Clermont (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.51. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.52, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.115%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.59%EV -4.17%E -2.24%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:30
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.59%EV -4.17%E -2.24%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.23%EV +0.115%E +0.026%K +0.033%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -7.06%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -11.38%E -6.62%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -0.328%E -0.073%K -0.094%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -11.38%E -6.62%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -2.54%E -0.578%K -0.748%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 11:49
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.85%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.85%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 10:59
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:13
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.26%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.76%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.98%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:15
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.27%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.23%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.50%EV -6.80%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 13:49
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.27%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.32%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.61%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 10:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.27%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:34
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -8.29%E -4.66%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.35%EV -8.29%E -4.66%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -7.78%E -4.34%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 27.49%EV -12.85%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 14:26
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.29%EV -8.81%E -4.98%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.80%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 13:10
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.97%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 09:15
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:33
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -10.35%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -10.35%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.58%E -0.698%K -0.957%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -10.87%E -6.28%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -9.19%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 14:13
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.72%E -3.12%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 11:30
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -10.35%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.85%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -11.40%E -2.85%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.62%E -3.49%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 10:59
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.23%E -3.42%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -14.72%E -3.82%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 12:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.48%E -3.08%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -9.84%E -5.62%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -15.83%E -4.17%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -13.11%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-09-04 13:30