L’École des cotes

Troyes v Stade Lavallois

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Score final : Troyes 4–0 Stade Lavallois

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Troyes (Local)

Prévision 59.02%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -3.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%59.07%59.06%61.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.551.551.6667.11%64.60%64.52%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stade Lavallois (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.49%5.41cote équitable
EV +3.55%
Avantage +0.633%
Kelly +0.771%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.40%18.43%18.48%21.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.095.005.6023.09%19.64%20.00%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.49%4.45cote équitable
EV +2.79%
Avantage +0.610%
Kelly +0.781%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 4.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.80%22.50%22.45%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.074.104.5728.57%24.58%24.39%21.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -12.06%E -8.10%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -12.06%E -8.10%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 09:50
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -12.06%E -8.10%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 09:50
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.66%EV +0.218%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.90%EV -5.98%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.00%E -0.377%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:40
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -2.00%E -0.377%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:50
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 17:15
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 16:55
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.29%E -6.77%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:54
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:15
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:19
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -12.28%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 17:35
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 17:45
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -9.40%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.41%EV -12.51%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:37
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.66%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:05
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.66%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 17:34
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 17:45
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:15
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.11%E -5.92%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.11%E -5.92%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -16.79%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 17:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -16.79%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -21.28%E -6.08%K -8.51%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-02 17:45
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.25%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -19.94%E -4.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV +2.79%E +0.610%K +0.781%G +0.022%5.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.18%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.15%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.02%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-05-02 17:55