مدرسة الاحتمالات

Troyes v Stade Lavallois

البداية: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Troyes 4–0 Stade Lavallois

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Troyes (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.02%1.69السعر العادل
EV -2.03%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -3.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.76%59.07%59.06%61.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.491.551.551.6667.11%64.60%64.52%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Stade Lavallois (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.49%5.41السعر العادل
EV +3.55%
الأفضلية +0.633%
Kelly +0.771%
النمو +0.027%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.40%18.43%18.48%21.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.335.095.005.6023.09%19.64%20.00%17.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.49%4.45السعر العادل
EV +2.79%
الأفضلية +0.610%
Kelly +0.781%
النمو +0.022%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.80%22.50%22.45%24.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.074.104.5728.57%24.58%24.39%21.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -12.06%E -8.10%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -12.06%E -8.10%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 09:50
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -12.06%E -8.10%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 09:50
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.66%EV +0.218%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.90%EV -5.98%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.00%E -0.377%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:40
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -2.00%E -0.377%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:50
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 17:15
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 16:55
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.29%E -6.77%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:54
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:15
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:19
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -12.28%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 17:35
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 17:45
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -9.40%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.41%EV -12.51%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:37
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.66%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:05
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.66%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 17:34
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 17:45
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:15
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.11%E -5.92%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.11%E -5.92%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -16.79%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 17:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -16.79%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -21.28%E -6.08%K -8.51%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-02 17:45
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.25%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -19.94%E -4.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV +2.79%E +0.610%K +0.781%G +0.022%5.2%2026-05-02 17:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.18%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.15%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.02%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-05-02 17:55