La escuela de los momios

Troyes v Stade Lavallois

Inicio: 2026-05-02 18:00 UTC

Final: Troyes 4–0 Stade Lavallois

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Troyes (Local)

Predicción 59.02%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.76%59.07%59.06%61.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.551.551.6667.11%64.60%64.52%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stade Lavallois (Visitante)

Predicción 18.49%5.41momio equitativo
EV +3.55%
Ventaja +0.633%
Kelly +0.771%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.40%18.43%18.48%21.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.095.005.6023.09%19.64%20.00%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.49%4.45momio equitativo
EV +2.79%
Ventaja +0.610%
Kelly +0.781%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.80%22.50%22.45%24.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.074.104.5728.57%24.58%24.39%21.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV +3.55%E +0.633%K +0.771%G +0.027%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 09:50
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -12.06%E -8.10%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -12.06%E -8.10%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 09:50
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -12.06%E -8.10%K -24.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV +1.70%E +0.309%K +0.377%G +0.006%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-02 09:50
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.66%EV +0.218%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.90%EV -5.98%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 17:35
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -2.00%E -0.377%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 17:40
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -2.00%E -0.377%K -0.465%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 16:50
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 17:15
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 16:55
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -2.93%E -0.557%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 16:55
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.29%E -6.77%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -3.85%E -0.740%K -0.917%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 16:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.35%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 17:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -5.70%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 17:54
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 17:15
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:19
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 17:50
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -12.28%E -3.15%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 17:35
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 17:45
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.55%E -1.51%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 17:45
Suprabets1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -9.40%E -1.92%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.41%EV -12.51%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 17:37
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.66%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 17:05
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.60%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -6.66%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.91%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 17:34
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -10.32%E -2.13%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -13.41%E -3.48%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.41%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 16:55
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 17:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.25%E -2.34%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 17:45
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -12.17%E -2.56%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 17:15
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.78%E -1.90%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.11%E -5.92%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.11%E -5.92%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -13.09%E -2.79%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -5.53%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -8.52%E -5.50%K -15.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -14.94%E -3.25%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -10.03%E -2.51%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 13:20
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -9.70%E -6.34%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -16.79%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -14.53%E -3.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 17:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.47%E -7.65%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -16.79%E -3.73%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -21.28%E -6.08%K -8.51%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-02 17:45
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.25%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -19.94%E -4.60%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.80%EV +2.79%E +0.610%K +0.781%G +0.022%5.2%2026-05-02 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.18%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02%0.9%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-02 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.15%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-02 17:55
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.02%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.61%2.8%2026-05-02 17:55