Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sochaux (Local): 28.86%; Nantes (Visit): 42.50%; Draw: 28.64%. For Sochaux (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.87%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -11.59%E -5.57%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -11.59%E -5.57%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -11.59%E -5.57%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -18.39%E -6.45%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.04%EV -3.21%E -0.950%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 09:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 08:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.07%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 09:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.07%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 09:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 09:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 06:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 06:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 23:08 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 12:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -12.87%E -6.28%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -14.14%E -7.00%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -14.14%E -7.00%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -14.14%E -7.00%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.34%E -3.37%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.69%EV -9.67%E -3.09%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.16%EV -9.47%E -4.44%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.15%EV -11.80%E -3.83%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 01:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 19:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 10:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -11.98%E -3.93%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.30%EV -12.84%E -4.25%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 42.34%EV -11.17%E -5.34%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.36%EV -10.66%E -3.42%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-07 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.66%E -4.15%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |