Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sochaux v Nantes

2026-09-12 12:00 UTC — Ligue 2 - France

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sochaux (Local)

Prediction 27.55%3.63fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.90%27.65%27.61%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.963.323.303.5033.78%30.15%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nantes (Visit)

Prediction 44.20%2.26fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%44.06%44.12%45.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.072.2051.28%48.38%48.31%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.25%3.54fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.40%28.28%28.27%29.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.13%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sochaux (Local): 27.55%; Nantes (Visit): 44.20%; Draw: 28.25%. For Nantes (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -2.75%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -6.29%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-07 19:15
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 12:15
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 12:15
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -12.48%E -6.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.54%EV -10.18%E -3.20%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 12:15
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -4.95%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 44.79%EV -10.27%E -5.06%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 12:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.33%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.33%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.33%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 19:15
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.33%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.33%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 12:15
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.33%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.33%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 12:15
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -6.33%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-07 12:14
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.70%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 19:18
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -7.70%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.25%EV -12.48%E -6.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-07 12:49
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 19:30
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 19:15
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 19:18
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 19:19
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 19:19
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 19:20
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 19:15
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.79%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 19:15
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -4.08%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 19:20
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.46%E -3.22%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -13.36%E -6.82%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -10.73%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 19:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -11.84%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -3.64%E -1.67%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -11.84%E -3.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -3.64%E -1.67%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.20%E -2.52%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 19:19
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.71%EV -12.94%E -4.09%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -2.75%E -1.25%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 19:25
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -6.29%E -2.97%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 19:15
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.59%E -4.71%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -13.80%E -7.08%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -15.26%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-07 19:15
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -17.35%E -5.78%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -7.17%E -3.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.62%E -3.00%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 19:19
Suprabets🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 29.88%EV -18.45%E -6.23%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 42.31%EV -7.62%E -3.64%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.81%EV -10.18%E -3.20%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-07 19:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 26.86%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.30%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.84%16.4%2026-09-07 12:15