Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sochaux v Nantes

Inizio: 2026-09-12 12:00 UTC

Finale: Sochaux 1–0 Nantes

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sochaux (Casa)

Previsione 28.86%3.46quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -0.551%
Kelly -0.781%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.00%28.75%28.83%30.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.19%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Nantes (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.50%2.35quota equa
EV -4.37%
Vantaggio -1.94%
Kelly -3.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.80%42.51%42.50%44.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.142.152.2549.50%46.81%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.64%3.49quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -0.776%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.76%28.74%28.68%32.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.213.203.4035.09%31.18%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sochaux (Casa): 28.86%; Nantes (Trasferta): 42.50%; Pareggio: 28.64%. Per Sochaux (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.46. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.40, con un valore atteso del -1.87%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -11.59%E -5.57%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -11.59%E -5.57%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:00
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -11.59%E -5.57%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -18.39%E -6.45%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 12:00
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.04%EV -3.21%E -0.950%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 09:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 08:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 23:04
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.07%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 09:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.07%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 09:24
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 22:44
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 23:04
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 22:44
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 23:05
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 09:29
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 06:53
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 06:50
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 23:09
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 23:08
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 12:36
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 22:44
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -12.87%E -6.28%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -14.14%E -7.00%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -14.14%E -7.00%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -14.14%E -7.00%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:45
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.34%E -3.37%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 22:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 28.69%EV -9.67%E -3.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.16%EV -9.47%E -4.44%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.15%EV -11.80%E -3.83%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 01:03
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 19:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 10:44
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 10:45
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -11.98%E -3.93%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 22:45
Suprabets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 29.30%EV -12.84%E -4.25%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 42.34%EV -11.17%E -5.34%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.36%EV -10.66%E -3.42%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 12:04
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 22:45
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.66%E -4.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-08 22:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%5.2%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%5.2%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%5.2%2026-09-09 16:45
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-09 16:55
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%13.1%2026-09-09 12:15