Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sochaux v Nantes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 12:00 UTC

Score final : Sochaux 1–0 Nantes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sochaux (Local)

Prévision 28.86%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -0.781%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.00%28.75%28.83%30.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.19%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nantes (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.50%2.35cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -3.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.80%42.51%42.50%44.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.022.142.152.2549.50%46.81%46.51%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.64%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.776%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.76%28.74%28.68%32.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.213.203.4035.09%31.18%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sochaux (Local) : 28.86% ; Nantes (Visiteur) : 42.50% ; Match nul : 28.64%. Pour Sochaux (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.46. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.40, pour une espérance de -1.87% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -11.59%E -5.57%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -11.59%E -5.57%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:00
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -11.59%E -5.57%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -1.87%E -0.551%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -18.39%E -6.45%K -9.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.32%E -0.990%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 23:45
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 12:00
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.89%EV -5.34%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.04%EV -3.21%E -0.950%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 09:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 08:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 23:04
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.77%E -3.58%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.07%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 09:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.07%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 09:24
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 22:44
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.89%E -4.67%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 23:04
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 22:44
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.49%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 22:44
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 23:05
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 09:29
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 06:53
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 06:50
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 23:09
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 23:08
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 12:36
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 22:44
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -12.87%E -6.28%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -14.14%E -7.00%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -14.14%E -7.00%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -14.14%E -7.00%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 23:45
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.37%E -1.94%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.34%E -3.37%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-08 22:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 28.69%EV -9.67%E -3.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.16%EV -9.47%E -4.44%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.15%EV -11.80%E -3.83%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 01:03
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 19:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 10:44
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 10:45
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -11.98%E -3.93%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 22:45
Suprabets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 29.30%EV -12.84%E -4.25%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 42.34%EV -11.17%E -5.34%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.36%EV -10.66%E -3.42%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 12:04
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 22:44
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.62%E -4.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 22:45
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -10.74%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -12.66%E -4.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-08 22:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%5.2%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%5.2%2026-09-09 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%5.2%2026-09-09 16:45
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%7.4%2026-09-09 16:55
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.98%13.1%2026-09-09 12:15