StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sochaux v Guingamp

Matchstart: 2026-08-21 18:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Sochaux 1–0 Guingamp

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sochaux (Hemma)

Prognos 34.44%2.90rättvist odds
EV -2.88%
Fördel -1.02%
Kelly -1.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.82

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.87%34.41%34.39%35.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.642.622.8240.00%37.91%38.17%35.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Guingamp (Borta)

Prognos 36.36%2.75rättvist odds
EV -3.66%
Fördel -1.38%
Kelly -2.22%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.99%36.29%36.41%37.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.36%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.20%3.42rättvist odds
EV -3.92%
Fördel -1.19%
Kelly -1.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.54%29.30%29.20%31.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.123.103.2934.48%32.06%32.26%30.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sochaux (Hemma): 34.44%; Guingamp (Borta): 36.36%; Oavgjort: 29.20%. För Sochaux (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.90. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.82, med väntevärdet -2.88%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.37%EV -2.88%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.76%EV -6.93%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.37%EV -2.88%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.76%EV -6.93%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:39
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.27%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -15.31%E -5.28%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -4.25%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 17:43
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -6.67%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -6.93%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:44
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 17:29
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:30
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:44
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 17:39
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:49
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%EV -8.04%E -3.01%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.45%EV -8.39%E -3.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 15:29
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 17:44
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:29
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:29
Suprabets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.92%EV -8.02%E -3.17%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -9.42%E -3.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 17:49
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 17:43
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 17:44
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 17:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 17:50
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 17:29
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 17:25
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 17:29
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-21 17:29
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 17:29
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 15:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 15:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-21 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-21 17:54