Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sochaux v Guingamp

Início: 2026-08-21 18:00 UTC

Final: Sochaux 1–0 Guingamp

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sochaux (Local)

Previsão 34.44%2.90odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.87%34.41%34.39%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.642.622.8240.00%37.91%38.17%35.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Guingamp (Visitante)

Previsão 36.36%2.75odd justa
EV -3.66%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.99%36.29%36.41%37.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.36%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.20%3.42odd justa
EV -3.92%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.54%29.30%29.20%31.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.123.103.2934.48%32.06%32.26%30.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sochaux (Local): 34.44%; Guingamp (Visitante): 36.36%; Empate: 29.20%. Para Sochaux (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.90. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.82, com valor esperado de -2.88%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.37%EV -2.88%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.76%EV -6.93%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.37%EV -2.88%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.76%EV -6.93%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:39
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.27%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -15.31%E -5.28%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -4.25%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 17:43
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -6.67%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -6.93%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 17:44
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 17:29
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:30
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:44
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 17:39
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:49
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%EV -8.04%E -3.01%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.45%EV -8.39%E -3.33%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 15:29
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 17:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 17:44
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:29
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:29
Suprabets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.92%EV -8.02%E -3.17%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -9.42%E -3.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 17:49
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-21 17:55
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 17:43
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 17:44
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-21 17:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 17:50
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 17:29
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 17:25
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 17:29
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-21 17:29
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-21 17:29
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:29
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 15:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 15:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-21 17:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%0.9%2026-08-21 17:54