Idioma:Español
Sochaux v Guingamp
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sochaux (Local)
Predicción 34.44%2.90momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.87%34.41%34.39%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.642.622.8240.00%37.91%38.17%35.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Guingamp (Visitante)
Predicción 36.36%2.75momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.99%36.29%36.41%37.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.542.552.6541.67%39.36%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.20%3.42momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.54%29.30%29.20%31.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.123.103.2934.48%32.06%32.26%30.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sochaux (Local): 34.44%; Guingamp (Visitante): 36.36%; Empate: 29.20%. Para Sochaux (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.90. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.82, con un valor esperado de -2.88%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.37%EV -2.88%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.76%EV -6.93%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.37%EV -2.88%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.76%EV -6.93%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.26%EV -3.22%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.27%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -15.31%E -5.28%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.24%EV -4.25%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.81%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 17:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -6.67%E -2.46%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -6.93%E -2.71%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 17:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%EV -8.04%E -3.01%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.45%EV -8.39%E -3.33%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 17:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 17:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 35.92%EV -8.02%E -3.17%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -9.42%E -3.58%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 17:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 17:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.72%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-21 17:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.18%E -4.77%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.47%E -3.05%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 15:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |