Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Etienne v Stade Lavallois

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prediction 62.62%1.60fair odd
EV -5.44%
Edge -3.61%
Kelly -10.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.66%62.63%62.51%64.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5171.43%67.92%67.57%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stade Lavallois (Visit)

Prediction 14.85%6.73fair odd
EV +5.73%
Edge +0.805%
Kelly +0.937%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 7.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.47%14.84%14.82%16.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.116.007.1218.18%16.37%16.67%14.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.53%4.44fair odd
EV -0.866%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.255%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.78%22.53%22.67%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.084.104.4027.78%24.52%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Etienne (Local): 62.62%; Stade Lavallois (Visit): 14.85%; Draw: 22.53%. For Stade Lavallois (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.73. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.73%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.38%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.47%EV +5.73%E +0.805%K +0.937%G +0.054%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.15%EV -2.44%E -0.564%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +3.95%E +0.564%K +0.658%G +0.026%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV +0.237%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -0.505%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.39%EV -3.33%E -0.511%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.47%EV -5.44%E -3.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -0.866%E -0.197%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.47%EV -5.44%E -3.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -0.866%E -0.197%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.12%E -0.725%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 17:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -7.95%E -5.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:45
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:40
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:34
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.73%EV -8.58%E -5.87%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Everygame🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Suprabets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -10.45%E -7.31%K -24.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:23
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -7.19%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -7.95%E -5.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -7.93%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:15
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -9.42%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.50%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -9.42%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.50%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 18:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.49%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.85%EV -9.42%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 18:10
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -12.33%E -8.81%K -30.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -12.33%E -8.81%K -30.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -18.89%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-21 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -12.39%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -12.39%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -12.39%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -8.75%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -7.95%E -5.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -13.87%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:14
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 12:35
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -16.84%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -16.84%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -16.84%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:10
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:40
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:45
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%2.4%2026-02-21 18:55