La escuela de los momios

Saint Etienne v Stade Lavallois

Inicio: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Predicción 62.62%1.60momio equitativo
EV -5.44%
Ventaja -3.61%
Kelly -10.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.66%62.63%62.51%64.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.481.5171.43%67.92%67.57%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stade Lavallois (Visitante)

Predicción 14.85%6.73momio equitativo
EV +5.73%
Ventaja +0.805%
Kelly +0.937%
Crecimiento +0.054%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.47%14.84%14.82%16.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.116.007.1218.18%16.37%16.67%14.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.53%4.44momio equitativo
EV -0.866%
Ventaja -0.197%
Kelly -0.255%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.78%22.53%22.67%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.084.104.4027.78%24.52%24.39%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.38%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.47%EV +5.73%E +0.805%K +0.937%G +0.054%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.15%EV -2.44%E -0.564%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +3.95%E +0.564%K +0.658%G +0.026%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV +0.237%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -0.505%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.39%EV -3.33%E -0.511%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 18:45
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.47%EV -5.44%E -3.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -0.866%E -0.197%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.47%EV -5.44%E -3.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -0.866%E -0.197%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.12%E -0.725%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 17:48
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -7.95%E -5.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:45
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:45
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:40
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:34
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 62.73%EV -8.58%E -5.87%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 18:45
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 18:45
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Suprabets1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -10.45%E -7.31%K -24.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:23
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -7.19%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -7.95%E -5.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -7.93%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:15
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -9.42%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.50%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 18:20
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -9.42%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.50%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.49%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.85%EV -9.42%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:10
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 18:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:44
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -12.33%E -8.81%K -30.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -12.33%E -8.81%K -30.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -18.89%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-21 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -12.39%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -12.39%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -12.39%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -8.75%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 18:35
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -7.95%E -5.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -13.87%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:14
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 12:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 18:10
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -16.84%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -16.84%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -16.84%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:40
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:45
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 18:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%2.4%2026-02-21 18:55