L’École des cotes

Saint Etienne v Stade Lavallois

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prévision 62.62%1.60cote équitable
EV -5.44%
Avantage -3.61%
Kelly -10.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.66%62.63%62.51%64.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.471.481.5171.43%67.92%67.57%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stade Lavallois (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.85%6.73cote équitable
EV +5.73%
Avantage +0.805%
Kelly +0.937%
Croissance +0.054%

avec la cote maximale 7.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.47%14.84%14.82%16.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.116.007.1218.18%16.37%16.67%14.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.53%4.44cote équitable
EV -0.866%
Avantage -0.197%
Kelly -0.255%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.78%22.53%22.67%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.084.104.4027.78%24.52%24.39%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.38%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.47%EV +5.73%E +0.805%K +0.937%G +0.054%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.15%EV -2.44%E -0.564%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +3.95%E +0.564%K +0.658%G +0.026%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV +0.237%E +0.035%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.71%EV -0.505%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:30
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.39%EV -3.33%E -0.511%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 18:45
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.47%EV -5.44%E -3.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -0.866%E -0.197%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.47%EV -5.44%E -3.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -0.866%E -0.197%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 18:20
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.31%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.12%E -0.725%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 18:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 17:48
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -7.95%E -5.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:45
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:45
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:40
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 18:34
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 62.73%EV -8.58%E -5.87%K -18.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -11.01%E -2.79%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 18:45
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.58%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 18:45
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Suprabets1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -10.45%E -7.31%K -24.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -3.48%E -0.535%K -0.632%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:23
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -7.19%E -1.15%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.01%EV -7.95%E -5.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.94%EV -7.93%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 18:15
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -9.42%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.50%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 18:20
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.37%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -9.42%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.39%EV -6.50%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 18:15
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.49%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.85%EV -9.42%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 18:10
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 18:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 18:44
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -12.33%E -8.81%K -30.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -12.33%E -8.81%K -30.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -10.90%E -1.82%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -18.89%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-21 18:45
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -12.39%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -12.39%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.71%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -12.39%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.70%EV -8.75%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 18:35
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -7.95%E -5.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -13.87%E -2.39%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 18:14
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -6.70%E -4.49%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 13:10
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.07%E -4.05%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 12:35
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -9.20%E -6.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -14.61%E -2.54%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 18:10
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -16.84%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -16.84%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.53%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -16.84%E -3.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 13:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:40
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.66%EV -7.32%E -4.95%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.02%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 18:45
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -9.83%E -6.82%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -18.33%E -3.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-21 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%2.4%2026-02-21 18:55