L’École des cotes

Saint Etienne v Amiens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Score final : Saint Etienne 5–0 Amiens

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Prévision 79.93%1.25cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -3.40%
Kelly -20.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.10%79.84%79.94%81.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.161.161.2090.09%86.56%86.21%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Amiens (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.50%13.34cote équitable
EV +4.97%
Avantage +0.355%
Kelly +0.382%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 14.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.70%7.58%7.46%9.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0012.2313.0014.0010.00%8.17%7.69%7.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 12.57%7.95cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.228%
Kelly +0.260%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 8.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.49%12.59%12.59%14.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.277.508.1016.67%13.76%13.33%12.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +4.97%E +0.355%K +0.382%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:40
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +4.97%E +0.355%K +0.382%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:15
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +4.97%E +0.355%K +0.382%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.62%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.89%EV +1.22%E +0.090%K +0.098%G +0.001%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.49%EV +1.85%E +0.228%K +0.260%G +0.005%7.5%2026-05-09 17:54
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +0.591%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 80.83%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.90%EV -0.037%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:50
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:29
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:29
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:30
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:39
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:44
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:14
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:43
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:35
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +0.591%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:45
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:15
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:20
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:15
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:15
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.02%EV -4.09%E -3.40%K -20.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV -8.84%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:54
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.96%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.58%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.02I 14.25%NM 13.27%EV -11.73%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:54
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.57%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.72%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -8.84%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:49
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 17:34
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 17:39
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 17:39
Suprabets1.14I 87.72%NM 79.65%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.79%EV -10.73%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:36
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:34
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.33%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 17:54
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -11.28%E -10.16%K -102.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -24.56%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:34
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.96%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.03%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -10.73%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 78.96%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.03%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -10.73%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -17.53%E -1.59%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:38
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -17.53%E -1.59%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.05%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -17.53%E -1.59%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.72%EV -17.01%E -2.58%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 17:44
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.57%EV -19.40%E -1.80%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -8.84%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:43
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.04%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -21.27%E -2.03%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.04%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -21.27%E -2.03%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:39
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 78.47%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.87%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.28%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%0.9%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.23%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%1.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.23%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%1.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.92%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.75%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.40%2.3%2026-05-09 17:54