La escuela de los momios

Saint Etienne v Amiens

Inicio: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

Final: Saint Etienne 5–0 Amiens

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Saint Etienne (Local)

Predicción 79.93%1.25momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -3.40%
Kelly -20.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.10%79.84%79.94%81.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.161.161.2090.09%86.56%86.21%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Amiens (Visitante)

Predicción 7.50%13.34momio equitativo
EV +4.97%
Ventaja +0.355%
Kelly +0.382%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.70%7.58%7.46%9.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.0012.2313.0014.0010.00%8.17%7.69%7.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 12.57%7.95momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.228%
Kelly +0.260%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.49%12.59%12.59%14.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.277.508.1016.67%13.76%13.33%12.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +4.97%E +0.355%K +0.382%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:40
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +4.97%E +0.355%K +0.382%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:15
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +4.97%E +0.355%K +0.382%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.62%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.89%EV +1.22%E +0.090%K +0.098%G +0.001%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.49%EV +1.85%E +0.228%K +0.260%G +0.005%7.5%2026-05-09 17:54
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +0.591%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 80.83%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.90%EV -0.037%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:50
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:29
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:29
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:30
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:39
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:44
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:14
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:43
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:35
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +0.591%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:45
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:15
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:20
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:15
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:15
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.02%EV -4.09%E -3.40%K -20.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV -8.84%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:54
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.96%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.58%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.02I 14.25%NM 13.27%EV -11.73%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:54
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.57%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.72%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -8.84%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:49
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 17:34
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 17:39
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 17:39
Suprabets1.14I 87.72%NM 79.65%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.79%EV -10.73%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:36
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:34
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.33%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 17:54
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -11.28%E -10.16%K -102.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -24.56%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:34
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.96%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.03%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -10.73%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 78.96%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.03%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -10.73%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -17.53%E -1.59%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:38
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -17.53%E -1.59%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.05%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -17.53%E -1.59%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.72%EV -17.01%E -2.58%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 17:44
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.57%EV -19.40%E -1.80%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -8.84%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:43
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.04%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -21.27%E -2.03%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.04%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -21.27%E -2.03%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:39
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 78.47%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.87%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.28%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%0.9%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.23%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%1.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.23%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%1.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.92%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.75%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.40%2.3%2026-05-09 17:54