مدرسة الاحتمالات

Saint Etienne v Amiens

البداية: 2026-05-09 18:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Saint Etienne 5–0 Amiens

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Saint Etienne (المضيف)

التنبؤ 79.93%1.25السعر العادل
EV -4.09%
الأفضلية -3.40%
Kelly -20.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
77.10%79.84%79.94%81.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.161.161.2090.09%86.56%86.21%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Amiens (الضيف)

التنبؤ 7.50%13.34السعر العادل
EV +4.97%
الأفضلية +0.355%
Kelly +0.382%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 14.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.70%7.58%7.46%9.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
10.0012.2313.0014.0010.00%8.17%7.69%7.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 12.57%7.95السعر العادل
EV +1.85%
الأفضلية +0.228%
Kelly +0.260%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.49%12.59%12.59%14.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.007.277.508.1016.67%13.76%13.33%12.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.58%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +4.97%E +0.355%K +0.382%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:40
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +4.97%E +0.355%K +0.382%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:15
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 80.81%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV +4.97%E +0.355%K +0.382%G +0.019%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.62%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.89%EV +1.22%E +0.090%K +0.098%G +0.001%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.49%EV +1.85%E +0.228%K +0.260%G +0.005%7.5%2026-05-09 17:54
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +0.591%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:35
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 80.83%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.90%EV -0.037%E -0.005%K -0.005%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:50
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:29
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:29
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:30
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 17:39
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:44
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.39%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:14
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:43
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 17:35
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +0.591%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:54
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:45
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:15
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:19
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:20
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:15
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 17:34
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -2.53%E -0.195%K -0.211%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 17:15
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.02%EV -4.09%E -3.40%K -20.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV -8.84%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:54
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.96%EV -5.68%E -4.82%K -31.58%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.02I 14.25%NM 13.27%EV -11.73%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:54
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 17:39
Tipico (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.57%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:34
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.72%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.64%EV -8.84%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:49
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 17:34
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 17:39
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 17:39
Suprabets1.14I 87.72%NM 79.65%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.79%EV -10.73%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 17:36
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:34
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -10.48%E -9.36%K -87.33%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 17:54
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -11.28%E -10.16%K -102.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -10.03%E -0.836%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -24.56%E -4.09%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 17:39
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:34
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:34
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.90%EV -1.92%E -0.247%K -0.283%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:34
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.96%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.03%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -10.73%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 78.96%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.03%EV -13.78%E -1.20%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.01%EV -10.73%E -1.51%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -17.53%E -1.59%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 17:38
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.08%E -7.03%K -53.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -17.53%E -1.59%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 17:35
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.05%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -17.53%E -1.59%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.72%EV -17.01%E -2.58%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 17:44
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.57%EV -19.40%E -1.80%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.70%EV -8.84%E -1.22%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:43
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.04%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -21.27%E -2.03%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.04%EV -7.28%E -6.28%K -45.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.73%EV -21.27%E -2.03%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -5.70%E -0.759%K -0.876%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -18.27%E -2.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:39
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 78.47%EV -9.68%E -8.57%K -74.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.87%EV -25.02%E -2.50%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -11.98%E -1.71%K -2.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 17:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.28%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%0.9%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.23%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%1.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.23%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.96%1.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.92%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.28%1.3%2026-05-09 17:55
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.75%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.40%2.3%2026-05-09 17:54