Language:English
Red Star v Sochaux
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Red Star (Local)
Prediction 48.18%2.08fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.90%48.37%48.15%52.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.871.912.0058.82%53.54%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sochaux (Visit)
Prediction 24.14%4.14fair odd
EV +8.62%
Edge +1.92%
Kelly +2.46%
Growth +0.212%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.90%23.92%24.11%24.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.953.854.5027.78%25.34%25.97%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.68%3.61fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.893%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.71%27.74%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.36%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Red Star (Local): 48.18%; Sochaux (Visit): 24.14%; Draw: 27.68%. For Sochaux (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -13.27%E -7.37%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +8.62%E +1.92%K +2.46%G +0.212% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 08:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -13.27%E -7.37%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV +8.62%E +1.92%K +2.46%G +0.212% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-13 08:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 08:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 08:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.83%EV -15.68%E -8.96%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV +3.79%E +0.882%K +1.15%G +0.044% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.92%EV -17.12%E -9.96%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV +2.58%E +0.608%K +0.795%G +0.021% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.87%EV -18.09%E -10.64%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV +1.38%E +0.328%K +0.431%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 08:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.87%EV -18.09%E -10.64%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV +1.38%E +0.328%K +0.431%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.87%EV -18.09%E -10.64%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV +1.38%E +0.328%K +0.431%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -10.86%E -5.87%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -1.04%E -0.253%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.32%EV -4.11%E -2.07%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.80%EV -2.48%E -0.615%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.45%E -4.45%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.45%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -3.63%E -1.82%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -7.01%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -7.01%E -3.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -5.34%E -1.56%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -7.49%E -3.90%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -9.90%E -5.29%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.45%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 17:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -8.45%E -4.45%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.07%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 17:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.41%E -5.01%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 23.67%EV -7.31%E -1.90%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 17:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -6.04%E -3.10%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -7.49%E -3.90%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -6.45%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.16%EV -9.90%E -5.29%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.28%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -4.11%E -2.07%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -4.11%E -2.07%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 18:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.49%E -3.90%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.49%E -3.90%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -9.90%E -5.29%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -10.86%E -5.87%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -9.48%E -2.53%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -14.20%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.20%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 16:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.20%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.20%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -7.97%E -4.17%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -10.69%E -2.89%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -14.20%E -4.58%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -13.27%E -7.37%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -13.10%E -3.64%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |